Joining us now is Aaron David Miller, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, senior fellow and former Arab-Israeli negotiator. Also has a book on America's elusive search for ArabIsraeli peace. It's good to have you.What do you think the US does. Do you think it ultimately enters in in some military form. Look, I think the president confronts a dilemma as do the Israelis and the Iranians.Uh he does not want to enter this war. It's got too many uncertain consequences, but at the same time, he can't end ...

to agree to a cease fire and would offer flexibility in nuclear negotiations in return. Joining us now is Wendy Sherman, former deputy secretary of state. Wendy also led the U.S. Negotiating team from 2011 to 2015 on an agreement that limited Iran's nuclear activity. Wendy, it's great to have you on the show.First of all, I mean, how much credence do you put in this reporting. Does it sound realistic that Iran would be trying to push the U.S. To come to the table at this point. >> Well, I would not be surpr ...

I am a full-time analyst interested in a wide range of stocks. With my unique insights and knowledge, I hope to provide other investors with a contrasting view of my portfolio, given my particular background.If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to me via a direct message on Seeking Alpha or leave a comment on one of my articles.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of AVGO either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article mysel ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - Focus on the Asia-Pacific (APAC) markets, particularly highlighting the KOSPI index and oil market dynamics Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Asia Leaders Conference**: The inaugural APAC forum is scheduled for September 3-5 in Hong Kong, with an initial list of approximately 120 corporate participants expected to double in the coming weeks [3][4] 2. **US Market Sentiment**: The S&P 500 index is currently down 113 basis points, just 3% shy of all-time highs, indicating a relatively calm equity market despite geopolitical tensions [5][6] 3. **Investor Positioning**: The GS Sentiment Indicator shows light investor positioning due to recent ETF and equity mutual fund outflows, with concerns about missing market rebounds [9][11] 4. **Household Equity Allocation**: US households now hold 50% of their total financial assets in equities, a record high, with 401(k) plans showing a 70% equity allocation [13] 5. **KOSPI Performance**: The KOSPI is the top-performing market in Asia year-to-date, with a medium-term view suggesting domestic positives will outweigh global cyclical risks [20][21] 6. **Oil Price Forecast**: Limited disruptions to Middle Eastern oil supply are expected, with Brent crude projected to fall to $59 by year-end and $56 next year, although short-term risks could push prices higher [17][18] 7. **Foreign Institutional Investment**: Foreign institutional investors net bought $3.6 billion month-to-date, indicating a recovery from previous sell-offs [22] 8. **Sector Adjustments**: Technology hardware and semiconductors have been upgraded to market weight, reflecting positive sentiment in these sectors [29] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Geopolitical Risks**: Potential escalation in the Middle East could lead to significant spikes in oil prices, with extreme scenarios suggesting prices could exceed $100 [18] 2. **Macro Economic Indicators**: Upcoming key economic data releases include retail sales, industrial production, and housing starts, which will be crucial for market direction [15] 3. **Historical Context**: Historical performance during supply-driven oil price shocks suggests that Australia, China A-shares, Malaysia, and Thailand tend to outperform, particularly in energy and defensive sectors [36] 4. **Best Investment Ideas**: Post-election investment ideas include Coupang, HYBE, and SK Hynix, with a focus on reform beneficiaries [28] 5. **Global Economic Outlook**: The US GDP growth forecast for Q4 2025 has been raised to 1.25%, with recession odds reduced to 30% [41] This summary encapsulates the key insights and data points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current market landscape and investment opportunities in the Asia-Pacific region.

Core Insights - The article expresses a personal investment perspective, highlighting a long position in Amazon (AMZN) shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [2]. Company Analysis - The analyst has a beneficial long position in AMZN, which may suggest a positive outlook on the company's stock performance [2]. - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting personal in-depth research before making investment decisions, reflecting the inherent risks in trading [3]. Industry Context - The analysis is intended for informational purposes only, underscoring the need for investors to perform their own due diligence in the context of market volatility and potential capital loss [3].

And this whole show of force, the military parade, the heavy-handed ICE raids, the crackdown on protests, it's all adapted from the playbooks of the foreign leaders Trump has long admired. Strong men like Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong-un, and even Benjamin Netanyahu. Leaders who Trump has gone out of his way to publicly praise and align himself with.At times, he even fawns over them. It's creepy sometimes. He defends them when most other world leaders are not, when they certainly don't deserve to be defended.And ...

Donald Trump made a lot of big promises on the campaign trail. He was going to end the war in Ukraine on day one and the war in Gaza. He was going to ink a nuclear deal with Iran and defend American trade.But we are nearly 5 months into this administration. Not one of those things has happened, but the world doesn't seem to be waiting to see if it ever will. Ukraine and Israel are calling their own shots now.nuclear talks with Iran are in limbo and the US has less than a month to negotiate dozens and dozens ...

Minister, I've made it clear time and again, Israel will never allow those who call for our annihilation to develop the means to achieve that goal. Tonight, Israel backs those words with action. We struck at the heart of Iran's nuclear enrichment program. We struck at the heart of Iran's nuclear weaponization program.We targeted Iran's main enrichment facility in Natans. We targeted Iran's leading nuclear scientists working on the Iranian bomb. We also struck at the heart of Iran's ballistic missile program ...

We need to think about the US role in all of this. This is what we know so far. We've been told they weren't involved in the attack. Do we know to what extent they played a role in the defense.Yeah. Well. Hey Jon, good morning.The US tried to swiftly sort of distance itself from this operation. You had Secretary of State Marco Rubio really coming out saying that the US is not involved and that their top priority is protecting US troops in the region. But now you have President Trump in this post on social j ...

Jonathan, we were just speaking to Karen there potentially about what this means for Iran's nuclear program. What is your assessment at this point. Well, the strikes are going to make the challenge of accounting for Iran's nuclear program vast, vastly more complicated.Don't forget, as of today, IAEA inspectors were in Iran, an average of more than one time a day visiting multiple sites. Iran has already announced a couple of weeks ago to International Atomic Energy Agency diplomats that any strike by Iran i ...