Uptober
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BTC Pushes Past $117K Liquidity Wall After $429M ETF Inflows – Bullish Breakout or Bear Trap?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-01 19:22
Core Insights - Bitcoin (BTC) has surpassed the $117,000 liquidity wall, nearing $118,000, driven by renewed strength from U.S. spot ETF inflows, indicating bullish market sentiment [1] - ETFs recorded $429.9 million in net inflows on September 30, marking a positive trend for October [1] - The total value traded in Bitcoin ETFs reached $3.26 billion, with BlackRock's IBIT leading the inflows [2] Market Analysis - Traders are monitoring key liquidity clusters, with potential liquidation points at $107,000 and $118,000, suggesting a possible "squeeze fakeout" scenario [3][4] - Resistance is expected between $117,500 and $119,000, with a potential pullback towards the $111,000–$112,000 range [4] - The importance of CME futures gaps is highlighted, with historical data indicating that gaps below $112,000 have been filled in the past five months [5] Seasonal Trends - October is historically a strong month for Bitcoin, with an average return of +29.9%, contrasting with the flat or negative returns in August and September [6] - The MVRV ratio, which measures the divergence of BTC's market price from its average on-chain cost basis, supports a bullish outlook, typically rising above 1.9 in October [7]
X @CoinDesk
CoinDesk· 2025-10-01 18:47
RT CoinDesk (@CoinDesk)Happy Uptober to those who celebrate 🎃📊 ...
Bitcoin climbs above $118,000 as investors pin hopes on 'Uptober' bounce
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-01 16:58
Core Insights - Bitcoin (BTC) surged over 4.5% to exceed $118,000 amid uncertainty from a potential US government shutdown and seasonal trends favoring crypto markets [1] - October has historically been a strong month for Bitcoin, with gains in 10 of the last 12 years, leading to the term "Uptober" [2] - The Treasury General Account remains well-funded, reducing concerns about liquidity being drained from crypto assets [4] Market Performance - Bitcoin experienced volatility, briefly dropping to $108,000 before rebounding, with analysts suggesting that false downside breakouts can set up bullish trends [3] - The token ended September 4% higher, setting a positive precedent for October gains [2] Stablecoin Dynamics - The supply of Circle's USDC stablecoin increased by 19% quarter-over-quarter to $73.6 billion, indicating strong demand and a shift from previous growth rates [5] - Stablecoin activity has been bolstered by recent legislation, providing additional support to the crypto market [4] - Demand for USDC is diversified across blockchains, with 62% on Ethereum, 14% on Solana, and 8% on Hyperliquid [6] Future Outlook - The anticipated rise in stablecoin adoption is expected to drive the next wave of crypto adoption, potentially impacting prices within 6 to 12 months [5] - A strong fourth quarter could pave the way for bullish targets in the crypto market [7]
X @Ignas | DeFi
Ignas | DeFi· 2025-10-01 16:54
Maybe we celebrate too earl.Don’t count your chickens before they hatch.https://t.co/dY7EuQbN2wMichael Saylor (@saylor):Happy Uptober 🚀 ...
Bitcoin Price Surge Leads the ‘Uptober’ Rally with Strong Start to Q4
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-01 15:41
Core Insights - Bitcoin price has surged 3% as investors remain optimistic despite the US government shutdown, indicating a potential broader crypto market rally in Q4, historically a strong quarter for digital assets [1] - Bitcoin has surpassed the $116,500 mark, with gold reaching an all-time high of 3,890, suggesting a positive correlation between these assets amid favorable market conditions [2] - Analysts predict a dovish stance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, which could further boost risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies [2] Market Trends - Bitcoin's recent price action shows resilience, bouncing back after testing the $112,000 level, signaling bullish momentum as Q4 begins [3] - The outlook for October and the broader quarter remains positive, with expectations of continued strength in Bitcoin [3] Interest Rate Impact - There is an 88% chance of a 25 basis points Fed rate cut in October, which could enhance the attractiveness of risk assets like cryptocurrencies [4] - Lower interest rates may lead to more targeted inflows into Bitcoin, potentially transforming it into a yield-bearing asset class [4] Regulatory Developments - The Trump administration's decision on the Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax (CAMT) is seen as a move to strengthen the US position as a global hub for Bitcoin innovation [5]