7月10日，和讯投顾刘伟奇称，周三进行A股收评，3500点得而复失、冲高回落，对此齐明认为，3500 点附近出现震荡很正常，市场不太可能一蹴而就突破。不过，昨天市场刷新了去年10月8日以来的收盘 价新高，意义重大，此处大概率处于三浪上升阶段，概率可达99%。 对于昨天尾盘回落，刘伟奇判断属于正常现象。虽然盘中及尾盘形成了60分钟、120分钟的高点结构， 且有60分钟高九，但他认为问题不大。后续需关注调整力度，他判断调整力度有限，因为很多低位板块 如半导体、芯片、机器人、人工智能等，已处于低位，继续下跌概率不大，适当调整反而更健康。 昨天平均股价小幅下挫，但仍创新高，只要昨天阳线未被吞没，就无需担忧。多数个股走出类似老鸭头 走势，只要该形态未失败，就无需紧张。再看上证指数，昨天最高冲至3500点下方，成交量小幅放大至 1.5万亿以上，表现不错。尾盘大盘股价格有所下探，但小票未受明显影响。 从走势看，日线钝化早已消失，不存在大级别高点。120分钟级别， DIF再次向下拐头但未死叉，若明 天上午指数上涨10多点，钝化就会消失，120分钟级别走势还会反复。60分钟级别出现高九和向下拐 头，再次形成高点结构，不过可淡化 ...

Group 1 - The market experienced fluctuations around the 3500-point mark, which is considered normal, and a breakthrough is not expected to happen immediately [1] - The market reached a new intraday high since October 8 of the previous year, indicating a significant milestone, with a high probability of being in the third wave of an upward trend [1] - The average stock price slightly declined but still reached a new high, suggesting that as long as the previous day's gains are maintained, the market remains stable [1] Group 2 - The daily line's stagnation has disappeared, indicating no major high-point risk, while the 120-minute level shows a downward turn without forming a death cross [2] - A market pullback to the 3470-3480 point range is considered normal, and even if a high point forms at the 120-minute level, there is no need for excessive concern [2] - The current market is likely in a primary upward phase, and maintaining around 60% position is recommended, with potential buying opportunities if the stagnation phenomenon disappears [2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent market adjustment is seen as a minor correction, with the previous breakout at 3400 points still considered valid despite the pullback [1][2] Group 1: Market Analysis - The average stock price declined by 1.11, indicating a notable adjustment in the market [1] - The adjustment is attributed to a small high point, suggesting limited downside potential [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index is viewed as healthy, with significant buying activity observed [2] Group 2: Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has not broken below the 30-minute and 20-hour moving averages, indicating a strong performance [2] - Other indices, such as the ChiNext and Shenzhen Composite, are showing relative weakness compared to the Shanghai Composite [2] - The critical support level is identified at 3274, with 3350 being an important threshold [2][3] Group 3: Future Outlook - A potential decline below the identified support levels would warrant caution, but a rebound is also considered a normal occurrence [3] - The expected range for adjustments is around 3320 points, near the identified gap [3] - The overall market trend is still viewed as an early stage of a three-wave upward movement, with 3040 points marking the starting point [3]

5月9日，和讯投顾刘伟奇分析称，今天出现了调整，不过在连续上涨了20天后出现一定的调整，首先说 应该是正常的，这里面的调整极大概率是良性的调整。现在只是三浪上升的初期，但是上升的初期不代 表没有只涨不跌的股市，所以说出现点调整也属于十分正常，但今天这个调整的力度稍稍的大了一点 点，平均股价基本上是把昨天的阳线都给吞噬掉了。那么从这个道理上讲就是说这个地方出现一定的回 落整理，就是震荡整理这是很正常，就是再调整调整也是正常的，它三浪的初期它可能回落回落回落几 天都是正常的。大的下跌判断没有那么小的下跌，会不会有吗？实际短线呢我们判断短线的意义不大， 因为短线不能作为我们的依据，我们要看大的方向，大的方向上3040这个位置，也就是4月7号那个低点 是极大概率是这个从这到这调整的二浪的低点。这个地方就是三浪的初期，并且大家看本周这个成绩也 是大大的，为什么把缺口补上了，同时形成了一个周的一个攻击性的阳线，这是一个好现象。 （原标题：和讯投顾刘伟奇：A股中短期均线告捷，行情启动却遇回调，三浪初期正常震荡？） 科技这两天实际是下跌的，半导体和芯片这两天是持续下跌的，今天的券商也是下跌的，所以说我们得 出一个这样的一个结 ...