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研报掘金丨华安证券:新乳业成长性较强,首予“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-17 07:23
Core Viewpoint - The report from Huazhong Securities highlights that New Dairy Industry is poised for significant growth after a period of accumulation, with a clear mid-to-long-term development strategy aimed at achieving double-digit compound annual growth and doubling net profit margins over the next five years [1] Group 1: Company Strategy - From 2001 to 2021, the company completed three rounds of mergers and acquisitions to achieve national coverage and a full industry chain layout [1] - In 2023, the company announced a five-year strategic plan focusing on organic growth as the primary driver, supplemented by investments and acquisitions [1] - The company aims for a clear strategic goal of doubling net profit margins in the medium to long term [1] Group 2: Market Development - The company has been intensifying efforts in the low-temperature sector and enhancing direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel development [1] - Expected revenue for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is projected to be 11.15 billion, 11.81 billion, and 12.63 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.6%, 5.9%, and 7.0% [1] Group 3: Financial Projections - Forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is estimated at 720 million, 860 million, and 950 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 34%, 19%, and 11% [1] - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 21x, 18x, and 16x, respectively, which are below the average of comparable companies while showing strong growth potential [1]