红利组合
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前三季度板块压力仍大,继续推荐“红利”组合 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-11-11 02:43
Core Viewpoint - The construction and decoration industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with state-owned enterprises maintaining order growth despite revenue and profit pressures due to a sluggish real estate market and tightening local debt constraints [2][4]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the construction sector achieved a revenue of 5.85 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 5.51%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 123.9 billion yuan, down 10.06% year-on-year [2]. - The energy engineering state-owned enterprises continue to thrive, with China Energy Engineering and China Power Construction seeing revenue growth of 9.62% and 3.05% respectively, driven by investments in water conservancy and renewable energy [1][2]. - The total value of new contracts signed by construction state-owned enterprises in the first three quarters of 2025 is approximately 10.54 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of about 1.31% [1][2]. Group 2: Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.08%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.19%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.65% during the week, while the Shenwan Construction and Decoration Index increased by 1.85% [3]. - Among individual stocks, 109 stocks in the Shenwan Construction sector rose, with the top five performers being *ST Dongyi (+27.68%), Hainan Development (+27.41%), Chongqing Construction (+25.24%), Shanghai Construction (+20.42%), and Yaxiang Integration (+19.17%) [3]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The "dividend" strategy focuses on high-dividend, low-valuation stocks that may have investment value in a context of loose liquidity and low interest rates, with recommendations for Sichuan Road and Bridge and Jianghe Group [4][5]. - The "Construction+" strategy emphasizes policy encouragement for mergers, restructuring, and transformation, with a focus on companies that are clearly oriented towards new business areas such as renewable energy, smart manufacturing, and digital construction [5].