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Gold (XAUUSD) Price Forecast: Gold Price Future Risk Grows as Market Goes Vertical
FX Empire· 2025-12-28 19:57
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing a significant rally, with prices well above key moving averages, indicating strong bullish momentum and potential for further upward movement in the near term [2][4][5]. Price Levels and Trends - The main support level for swing chart traders is identified at $3886.46, with a potential trend change to down if this level is breached, although momentum may shift to neutral without a corresponding lower top [1]. - The dominant trend indicator, the 52-week moving average, is currently at $3439.44, and XAUUSD has remained above this level since October 20, 2023, demonstrating its strength [2]. - A steady 45-degree rise is typical for great rallies, but the current rally has been nearly vertical since breaking out over $3500.20 on September 5 [3]. Price Projections - The previous high for XAUUSD was $3500.20 in April, after which it moved sideways for 18 weeks. The current high at $4550.15 is $1110.71 above the 52-week moving average, indicating that the price is ahead of time [4]. - The week-ending January 10 is highlighted as a potential top for the current rally, marking 18 weeks from the breakout over $3500.20 [4]. Market Drivers - The bullish narrative driving gold prices includes central bank buying, expectations of Fed rate cuts, and geopolitical risks, contributing to the current upward price action [5].