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Stride vs. Chegg: Which Online Education Stock is a Smarter Buy?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-09 14:46
Core Insights - The online education sector is evolving with digital learning becoming mainstream, with Stride, Inc. and Chegg, Inc. as key players adapting to post-pandemic trends and AI-driven tools [1][2] Company Overview Stride, Inc. - Stride focuses on full-time online K-12 programs and is expanding into career learning and adult certification programs [2] - The company has a market cap of approximately $6.33 billion and is experiencing record enrollment growth, particularly in its Career Learning segment [4] - Enrollment growth for General Education and Career Learning segments increased by 12.8% to 137,500 students and 32% to 96,000 students respectively, leading to an overall enrollment growth of 20% [5] - Stride raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to between $2.37 billion and $2.385 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 16.2-16.9% [5] - The company is well-positioned for future growth with strategic investments in personalized learning and user experience [6] - Federal funding constitutes less than 5% of Stride's revenues, reducing exposure to federal budget uncertainties [7] Chegg, Inc. - Chegg operates a direct-to-consumer subscription model, offering digital study aids and AI-driven tutoring, but is facing challenges with a decline in paid subscribers [8][9] - The company has a market cap of approximately $173.7 million and reported a 30% year-over-year decline in net revenues to $121.4 million [9] - Subscription Services revenues fell by 30%, and Skills and Other revenues decreased by 32% [9] - Chegg is piloting new AI programs to expand service offerings and mitigate competition from free AI tools [10] - The company is optimistic about its reinvented Chegg Skills product, expecting profitability and positive revenue growth from 2026 [11] Stock Performance & Valuation - Year-to-date, Stride's stock performance has outpaced Chegg's, supported by strong enrollment growth and revenue momentum [9][12] - Stride trades at a premium price-to-sales (P/S) ratio compared to Chegg, indicating stronger investor confidence [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Stride's fiscal 2025 EPS indicates a growth of 51.2%, while Chegg's EPS estimates reflect a year-over-year decline of 125.3% for 2025 [14][18] Investment Outlook - Stride is viewed as a stronger investment option due to favorable market trends and diversified offerings, while Chegg is struggling despite demand for online education [19][20] - Stride holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while Chegg has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating better upside potential for Stride [20]