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Stride vs. Chegg: Which EdTech Stock has the Better Upside Now?
ZACKS· 2026-02-26 16:36
Industry Overview - The U.S. education market is experiencing growth driven by favorable demand for digital learning solutions, AI-based alternatives, and career-focused learning, supported by a new initiative from the U.S. Department of Education [1][2] Company Analysis: Stride, Inc. (LRN) - Stride focuses on K-12 virtual schooling and career-learning programs, benefiting from a sustained shift towards alternative education models as dissatisfaction with traditional K-12 education remains high [3][4] - In the first half of fiscal 2026, Stride's Career Learning segment saw enrollments increase by 18.1% year-over-year to 111,100 students, with revenues rising by 20.5% to $547.6 million [5] - Stride's adjusted operating income and adjusted EBITDA grew by 23.8% and 21.3% year-over-year, respectively, with a revised full-year revenue guidance indicating confidence in execution [6][27] - The company has a trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) of 26.2%, indicating strong efficiency in generating shareholder returns [25] Company Analysis: Chegg, Inc. (CHGG) - Chegg is repositioning itself towards the $40 billion global workforce skilling market, with a split into two focused units: Chegg Skilling and Academic Services [8][12] - Chegg Skilling revenues increased by 11% year-over-year in Q4 2025 to $17.7 million, supported by AI-powered features enhancing engagement and retention [10] - Despite growth in Chegg Skilling, the legacy Academic Services business is facing revenue declines due to competition from generative AI and changing student behavior [12][28] - Chegg's cash flow was negative $12.6 million at the end of 2025, reflecting ongoing operational strain from restructuring initiatives [13] Comparative Analysis - Stride shows stronger enrollment growth and operating leverage, with expected margin expansion in fiscal 2026, while Chegg faces challenges from its legacy segment [9][27] - LRN's earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 have improved by 3.2% and 10.7%, respectively, while CHGG's estimates have contracted significantly, indicating a 466.7% and 90.9% year-over-year decline [18][21] - The digital education landscape is supported by growing demand for AI-enabled and career-focused learning solutions, with Stride currently holding a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) and Chegg a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) [26][29]