Market and Growth - The AI photonics market is experiencing rapid growth, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 25%[22] - The AI photonics market is expected to grow from $10 billion in 2024 to over $30 billion in 2029[22] - Lumentum aims to achieve over $3 billion in annual revenue, driven by AI photonics leadership, with an operating margin exceeding 20%[31] Technology and Innovation - InP (Indium Phosphide) is becoming increasingly important for higher data rate lane speeds, improving power-per-bit efficiency[40] - Lumentum's InP solutions are projected to constitute 61% of lanes in 2029, compared to 81% in 2024, while VCSEL solutions will constitute 39% of lanes in 2029, compared to 19% in 2024[40] - Differential-drive EML (Electro-absorption Modulated Laser) technology can reduce power consumption by 10-15% at 200G lane speeds compared to CW-SiPho solutions[51] - Advanced InP laser roadmap offers multiple pathways to reduce power consumption, with potential power reductions of approximately 40% for LPO transceivers and 45% for CPO pluggable solutions[56] Optical Switching (OCS) - Optical switching can achieve over 65% power reduction in 100K-scale GPU deployments[73] - The market opportunity for optical circuit switching (OCS) is projected to exceed $1.5 billion by 2029[73] Financial Targets - Lumentum is targeting an operating margin exceeding 20% at >$3 billion annual revenue[111] - Lumentum's FY25 consensus operating margin is 8.4%, with a target to expand this by over 1,100 bps (basis points) primarily driven by Cloud & AI[105]