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Tempus AI Stock Before Q3 Earnings Release: To Buy or Not to Buy?
ZACKSยท 2025-10-20 14:06
Core Insights - Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 3, with an adjusted loss of 22 cents in the last quarter, which was better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 23 cents per share [1] - The company has exceeded earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average negative earnings surprise of 0.72% [1] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues is $326.9 million, reflecting an 80.7% increase compared to the same period last year [2] - The loss per share estimate for the third quarter has remained steady at 16 cents over the past 30 days [2] Stock Performance - Tempus AI's stock experienced a 48% gain during the third quarter of 2025, outperforming the broader industry gain of 6% and the S&P 500's 9.8% increase [3][4] - The company outperformed competitors in the health infotech sector, such as 10x Genomics (2.8% gain) and SOPHiA GENETICS (35.3% gain) [4] Strategic Developments - The acquisition of Paige, valued at $81.25 million, is expected to enhance Tempus' digital pathology dataset and AI capabilities, adding nearly 7 million digitized pathology slide images [8] - The company achieved several regulatory milestones, including multiple FDA clearances for its diagnostics and imaging products, which strengthen its market position [10] Business Segments and Demand - The Genomics segment is anticipated to show improvement due to increased volume in oncology testing and strong demand for proprietary data licensing and AI solutions [9] - The recent collaboration with AstraZeneca highlights growing pharmaceutical interest in Tempus' extensive molecular and clinical datasets [9] Financial Outlook - Tempus AI's second-quarter gross profit more than doubled, and adjusted EBITDA losses narrowed, indicating progress towards profitability [11] - The company expects an adjusted EBITDA of $5 million for the full year 2025, with meaningful progress anticipated in the upcoming quarter [11] Valuation Concerns - TEM's stock is currently considered overvalued, trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 10.26, significantly higher than the industry average of 5.83 [13] - The stock's premium valuation and lack of near-term profitability may limit short-term gains [16] Market Positioning - The AI market is projected to grow rapidly, positioning Tempus AI to capitalize on emerging opportunities in healthcare [14] - The company is focused on advancing healthcare outcomes, presenting an attractive investment prospect in the AI and healthcare sectors [14]