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Tempus AI Stock Before Q4 Earnings Release: To Buy or Not to Buy?
ZACKS· 2026-02-18 15:45
Core Insights - Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM) is set to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 24, with expectations of an 82.8% year-over-year revenue increase to $366.8 million [2][7] - The company reported an adjusted loss of 11 cents per share in the last quarter, which was better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 16 cents [1] - Tempus has seen a share price decline of 32.9% in the fourth quarter due to macroeconomic challenges, despite strong momentum from strategic acquisitions and product launches [3][7] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for loss per share has remained unchanged at 2 cents over the past 30 days [2] - The company's earnings estimate revision trend shows consistent expectations for the current quarter and the next, with losses projected at -0.02 for Q4 and -0.13 for Q1 2026 [3] - In the previous quarter, Tempus achieved a gross profit improvement of 98.4% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA turned positive, indicating progress towards profitability [14] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - Tempus trades at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 5.82X, which is above the industry average of 5.66X and higher than competitors like 10x Genomics (3.83X) and SOPHiA GENETICS (3.69X) [16] - The Zacks Medical Info Systems industry experienced a loss of 21.6% during the same period, while the S&P 500 gained 3.3% [4] Strategic Developments - Recent collaborations include a multi-year partnership with Whitehawk Therapeutics for oncology treatments and a selection by the Advanced Research Projects Agency for Health to provide testing services [8] - The Genomics segment is expected to show improvement due to growth in oncology testing and hereditary sequencing, while the Data and Services business is likely to benefit from strong demand for proprietary data licensing and AI solutions [9][10] - Tempus has enhanced its capabilities through the acquisition of Paige, an AI leader in digital pathology, and expanded its collaboration with Northwestern Medicine to integrate AI into clinical workflows [12] Future Outlook - The AI market is anticipated to grow rapidly, positioning Tempus to capitalize on emerging opportunities in healthcare [17] - Despite recent upsides, the company's premium valuation and lack of near-term profitability may limit immediate gains [18]
Tempus AI Stock Before Q3 Earnings Release: To Buy or Not to Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 14:06
Core Insights - Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 3, with an adjusted loss of 22 cents in the last quarter, which was better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 23 cents per share [1] - The company has exceeded earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average negative earnings surprise of 0.72% [1] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues is $326.9 million, reflecting an 80.7% increase compared to the same period last year [2] - The loss per share estimate for the third quarter has remained steady at 16 cents over the past 30 days [2] Stock Performance - Tempus AI's stock experienced a 48% gain during the third quarter of 2025, outperforming the broader industry gain of 6% and the S&P 500's 9.8% increase [3][4] - The company outperformed competitors in the health infotech sector, such as 10x Genomics (2.8% gain) and SOPHiA GENETICS (35.3% gain) [4] Strategic Developments - The acquisition of Paige, valued at $81.25 million, is expected to enhance Tempus' digital pathology dataset and AI capabilities, adding nearly 7 million digitized pathology slide images [8] - The company achieved several regulatory milestones, including multiple FDA clearances for its diagnostics and imaging products, which strengthen its market position [10] Business Segments and Demand - The Genomics segment is anticipated to show improvement due to increased volume in oncology testing and strong demand for proprietary data licensing and AI solutions [9] - The recent collaboration with AstraZeneca highlights growing pharmaceutical interest in Tempus' extensive molecular and clinical datasets [9] Financial Outlook - Tempus AI's second-quarter gross profit more than doubled, and adjusted EBITDA losses narrowed, indicating progress towards profitability [11] - The company expects an adjusted EBITDA of $5 million for the full year 2025, with meaningful progress anticipated in the upcoming quarter [11] Valuation Concerns - TEM's stock is currently considered overvalued, trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 10.26, significantly higher than the industry average of 5.83 [13] - The stock's premium valuation and lack of near-term profitability may limit short-term gains [16] Market Positioning - The AI market is projected to grow rapidly, positioning Tempus AI to capitalize on emerging opportunities in healthcare [14] - The company is focused on advancing healthcare outcomes, presenting an attractive investment prospect in the AI and healthcare sectors [14]