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JOYY Inc. (JOYY): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Financeยท 2025-12-18 15:37
Core Thesis - JOYY Inc. is viewed positively due to its strong cash position and capital return strategy, which includes dividends and share repurchases, providing downside protection for investors while awaiting valuation normalization [2][3]. Financial Performance - JOYY's share price was $63.19 as of December 17th, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 8.92 and 9.78 respectively [1]. - The company has guided for approximately $900 million in cumulative dividends and buybacks between 2025 and 2027, with a current quarterly dividend of $0.97, implying a yield of roughly 6% [3]. - JOYY holds $3.32 per share in cash as of Q3, indicating minimal leverage and liquidity risks [3]. Business Segments - Bigo Live is a significant revenue driver, generating $388 million in live-streaming revenue in Q3, accounting for over 70% of total revenue, primarily through virtual gifting [4]. - BIGO Ads has shown substantial growth, with ad revenue increasing by 29% year-over-year to $112.5 million, and BIGO Ads revenue rising 33% year-over-year to $103.9 million, including nearly 20% sequential growth [4]. Growth Catalysts - Near-term sentiment for JOYY could improve due to factors such as enhanced advertising growth, increased third-party demand, and further monetization of iOS [4]. - The company's core live-streaming business is mature, but recent earnings indicate accelerating momentum in its AdTech and SaaS initiatives, which are becoming increasingly important to the investment narrative [4]. Market Position - JOYY is trading at approximately 12.5x forward earnings, and sustained growth of over 20% in BIGO Ads could lead to a significant rerating alongside ongoing capital returns [4].