AI-driven networking and compute spend
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美洲科技-专家网络系列:650 Group 对 2026 年 1 月数据中心与网络设备的展望-Americas Technology_ Hardware_ Expert Network Series_ Data Center & Networking Equipment January 2026 outlook with 650 Group
2026-01-19 02:29
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus of the conference call was on the **data center and networking equipment market** for the years **2026/27** with insights from **650 Group** [1] Core Insights and Arguments - **AI-driven Networking and Compute Spend**: The outlook remains elevated, driven by new XPUs, 800G network upgrades, and continued investments in scaling technologies [2][3] - **Networking Vendors**: Companies like **Arista (ANET)** and **Celestica (CLS)** are well-positioned to benefit from the adoption of 800G networking by hyperscalers in 2026/27 [2][3] - **Meta's Investment**: It is expected that **Meta's** spending on networking will significantly increase in 2026/27 after two years of under-investment, benefiting partners like ANET, CLS, and **Cisco (CSCO)** [3] - **Ethernet Networking Adoption**: Wider adoption in **Microsoft AI clusters** is anticipated to start in 2027, with 2026 still focused on existing Infiniband infrastructure [3] - **Scale Across Demand**: There is robust demand for connecting more data halls across geographies, primarily driven by Ethernet, although Infiniband demand will persist [3] Additional Important Insights - **Connector and Cabling Growth**: A significant increase in connector and cabling content per rack is expected with the introduction of **Rubin/Rubin Ultra**, compared to **Blackwell**. This growth is attributed to rising product complexity and sophisticated pin designs, benefiting companies like **Amphenol (APH)** and **TE Connectivity (TEL)** [2][5] - **Long-term Growth in Optics**: There is a positive outlook for optics, with recent transactions like **Amphenol - CCS** indicating strong growth potential [5] - **Cooling Technology**: The industry is expected to become more efficient, with new cooling technologies needed at 1 MW [5] - **Hyperscaler Preferences**: Hyperscalers are likely to continue using a mix of best-in-breed and white-box solutions, while enterprises may prefer reference-design systems from vendors with strong channel presences [6] Company Recommendations - **Buy Ratings**: The following companies have been assigned buy ratings: - **Amphenol Corp.** (Buy, $154.22) - **Arista Networks Inc.** (Buy, $130.59) - **Celestica Inc.** (Buy, $313.53) - **Flex** (Buy, $66.59) - **TE Connectivity Plc** (Buy, $241.92) [13] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference call, highlighting the trends, company positions, and market outlook for the data center and networking equipment industry.