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Air Products and Chemicals(APD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-31 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q3 2025 was $3.09, exceeding guidance and higher than the previous year, excluding LNG business sales impact [2][6] - Sales volume decreased by 4% year-over-year, primarily due to the sale of the LNG business and lower helium demand [6][7] - Total company price increased by 1%, with a 2% improvement in the merchant business [6][7] - Adjusted operating income remained unchanged, with operating margin flat but improved by approximately 300 basis points sequentially due to favorable volume and productivity improvements [7][8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core industrial gas business showed resilience, with strong performance in non-helium products across all regions [2][7] - Helium EPS contributions were down about 4% versus the prior year, with an anticipated headwind of around 55 to 60 cents for the full year [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Americas experienced a 6% decline in volume, primarily due to project exits and lower helium demand, although strong on-site volumes were noted [34][35] - The company expects to see improvements in overall merchant business outside of helium demand [35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for high single-digit adjusted EPS growth starting in fiscal year 2026, with a target of achieving operating margins of 30% and return on capital employed (ROCE) in the mid to high teens by 2030 [5][6] - A global cost reduction plan is expected to generate annual savings of $185 to $195 million, with a focus on digital transformation and AI tools to enhance productivity [3][4][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains cautious about the economic outlook, recognizing significant global uncertainties [10] - The company is optimistic about the competitiveness of its projects, particularly in the blue ammonia market, and is actively seeking partnerships for future projects [15][49] Other Important Information - The fiscal full-year adjusted EPS guidance is maintained at $11.90 to $12.10, with capital expenditures expected to be approximately $5 billion [10] - The company is committed to maintaining capital discipline while pursuing growth opportunities in its core industrial gas business [4][6] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on the plan to use third parties at Darrow for ammonia and carbon capturing - Management is optimistic about finalizing partnerships by the end of the current year, with competitive CapEx numbers for their projects [14][15] Question: Average prices year-over-year and helium impact - Management indicated that they typically do not disclose specific numbers but acknowledged helium's impact on pricing [18][20] Question: Volume performance in the Americas - The decline was largely due to project exits and helium demand, with strong on-site volumes noted [34][35] Question: Update on larger project announcements in the Gulf Coast - Management believes there is still demand for clean ammonia, particularly in the Far East, and expects competitive positioning for their projects [48][49] Question: Trajectory to achieve long-term ROCE goals - Current ROCE is around 11.1%, with expectations to improve as capital expenditures are reduced and cash balances increase [70][72] Question: Inflation impact on costs - Management continues to see inflation as a concern, with ongoing efforts to manage pricing effectively [76][77] Question: Update on underperforming projects - Projects in Edmonton, Rotterdam, and Arizona are on schedule, with no significant changes expected [80][81]