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Ouster vs. Luminar: Which LiDAR Powerhouse is a Safer Long-Term Play?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-16 18:36
Industry Overview - LiDAR technology is gaining traction in the automotive sector, particularly in premium vehicles and robotaxis, due to its capabilities in 3D mapping and object detection, enhancing advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving applications [1][2] - The market for LiDAR is projected to reach a $19 billion addressable market by 2030, indicating significant growth potential [5] Company Analysis: Ouster, Inc. (OUST) - Ouster is positioned to benefit from the increasing adoption of LiDAR across various sectors, including automotive, industrial, robotics, and smart infrastructure [4] - The 2023 merger with Velodyne has expanded Ouster's product lineup and customer base, with a target of over $75 million in annual cost synergies [4] - Management projects Q2 2025 revenues between $32 million and $35 million, focusing on software-attached solutions and product upgrades [4] - Ouster is transitioning from hardware sales to software-driven offerings, aiming for 30-50% annual revenue growth and gross margins of 35-40% [5] - Despite revenue growth, Ouster remains unprofitable and anticipates continued cash burn through at least 2026, although it has a solid balance sheet with $171 million in cash and no debt [6] Company Analysis: Luminar Technologies (LAZR) - Luminar has established itself as a key player in the automotive and industrial LiDAR markets, with partnerships with major OEMs like Volvo and Caterpillar [7] - The company is focusing on core technologies to streamline operations, achieving $80 million in cost savings through its industrialization partnership [8] - Luminar expects over $100 million in annualized cost savings and aims to triple production volume to enhance economies of scale [8] - The company has reduced its debt from $625 million to $185 million, indicating a disciplined financial approach [9] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OUST's 2025 revenues and EPS implies a year-over-year increase of 29.1% and 16.4%, respectively [11] - In contrast, LAZR's 2025 revenues and EPS are expected to increase by 14.9% and 53.4%, with EPS estimates rising by 12.1% over the past 60 days [12] - OUST is trading at a forward price-to-sales multiple of 8.45, while LAZR is at 1.34, indicating differing valuations [13] Market Performance - OUST shares have gained 131.6% year to date, while LAZR shares have decreased by 47% in the same period [17]