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Builder Sentiment Survey Not Yet Reflecting Recent Rate Changes
Mortgage News Daily· 2026-01-16 19:23
Core Insights - Builder confidence has decreased, with the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) falling two points to 37 in January, indicating persistent challenges in the housing market [1] - The underlying components of the index have weakened, with current sales conditions at 41 and prospective buyer traffic at 23, while future sales expectations have dropped to 49, below the breakeven level for the first time since September [2] - Affordability issues are impacting lower and mid-range housing sectors, despite a recent decline in mortgage rates to the lowest level in three years [3] Pricing and Sales Trends - 40% of builders reported cutting home prices in January, with the average price reduction increasing to 6%, while the use of sales incentives remains high at 65% [4] - Regional builder confidence varies, with the Northeast at 45, the Midwest at 43, the South at 35, and the West at 35, all affected by affordability and cost pressures [5]