Core Insights - Lockheed Martin Skunk Works has introduced Vectis, a Group 5 collaborative combat aircraft designed to enhance air dominance for American and allied militaries [1][2] - Vectis represents a new paradigm in air power, focusing on advanced fighter development, autonomy, and complex systems integration [3][4] Development and Features - Vectis is currently under development, with parts ordered and a dedicated team working on the project, emphasizing mission flexibility and survivability [3][4] - The aircraft aims to deliver high-end survivability and mission systems capability at competitive cost targets, with a design, build, and flight timeline of two years [4][5] Technical Specifications - Vectis integrates seamlessly with 5th and next-gen aircraft, supporting a Family of Systems vision for air dominance [5] - It is capable of executing precision strike, ISR targeting, electronic warfare, and both offensive and defensive counter air missions [5] - The aircraft features extended range and endurance suitable for various theaters, including Indo-Pacific, European, and Central Command [5] - Vectis leverages advanced manufacturing and digital engineering techniques to ensure affordability while maintaining stealth capabilities [5]

Geopolitical Risks & Market Reaction - The market is failing to fully appreciate the potential gravity of the current geopolitical moment, particularly concerning Middle East conflicts [2] - The perceived importance of Middle East conflict and its relationship to oil prices has declined over time, potentially leading to underestimation of current risks [2] - US shale gas supply has reduced the sensitivity of oil prices to Middle Eastern geopolitical risks, but the current situation is different [4] Potential Escalation Scenarios - The US potentially getting involved in a major geopolitical risk event, such as a conflict with China over Taiwan or an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities, represents a significant escalation [5] - The possibility of a "controlled explosion" potentially happening in Iran indicates a failure of markets to understand the risk trajectory [6] - Recent exchanges of force between Israel and Iran, including Israel's claimed aerial superiority, represent a strong statement and escalation [7] Israel-Iran Conflict Dynamics - Israel's Operation Rising Lion, involving targeted assassinations and undermining Iran's nuclear capacity, is an advanced operation [8] - The success of Operation Rising Lion on Israeli terms would require undermining Iran's nuclear capacity [8] - Achieving the desired outcome in the conflict between Israel and Iran may require US military assistance, making Trump's decisions a key variable [9]