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Can Agnico Eagle Keep Its Shine Amid Rising Production Costs?
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 13:31
Core Insights - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) reported better-than-expected earnings in Q3 but is facing challenges due to higher unit costs, with an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $1,373 per ounce, a 6% increase from the previous quarter and a 7% rise year-over-year [1][7] - The company anticipates total cash costs per ounce in the range of $915 to $965 and AISC between $1,250 and $1,300 for 2025, indicating a year-over-year increase at the midpoint of these ranges [2][7] - AEM's shares have increased by 115.9% year-to-date, compared to a 130.1% rise in the Zacks Mining – Gold industry, largely driven by a rally in gold prices [6][7] Cost Management and Projections - Higher production costs are expected to impact AEM's profitability, necessitating prudent cost management to maintain competitiveness and sustain margins [2][3] - AEM is taking measures to control costs, but inflationary pressures are likely to persist, potentially leading to a rise in AISC in late 2025 as deferred expenditures are realized [3] Peer Comparison - Among peers, Newmont Corporation (NEM) reported a Q3 AISC of $1,566 per ounce, a 3% decrease from the prior year, while Barrick Mining Corporation (B) saw a 9% sequential decline in AISC to $1,538 per ounce [4][5] - Newmont expects its gold AISC to rise to $1,630 per ounce in 2025, while Barrick projects AISC in the range of $1,460-$1,560 per ounce for the same year [4][5] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - AEM is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 19.51, which is approximately 46.1% higher than the industry average of 13.35 [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEM's earnings implies a year-over-year rise of 82.3% for 2025 and 20.7% for 2026, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [10]
AEM's Higher Unit Costs Warrant Caution: Can It Protect Margins?
ZACKS· 2025-08-05 12:56
Core Insights - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) reported a significant increase in its all-in sustaining cost (AISC) for Q2 2025, reaching $1,289 per ounce, which is a 9% increase from the previous quarter and a 10% increase year-over-year [1][6] - The rise in AISC is attributed to higher total cash costs, increased sustaining capital expenditures, and higher general and administrative expenses [1][6] - AEM forecasts its AISC for 2025 to be between $1,250 and $1,300 per ounce, indicating potential further cost pressures later in the year [2][6] Cost Management and Competitiveness - The increase in production costs is expected to impact AEM's profitability, necessitating prudent cost management to maintain competitiveness and sustain margins [2] - AEM's peers, such as Newmont Corporation and Barrick Mining Corporation, are also experiencing rising AISC, with Newmont's AISC at $1,593 per ounce (a 4% decrease from the prior quarter) and Barrick's AISC at $1,775 per ounce (a 22% increase) [3][4] Market Performance - AEM's shares have increased by 68% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's rise of 55.6%, largely driven by a rally in gold prices [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEM's earnings in 2025 and 2026 suggests a year-over-year increase of 62.2% and 0.9%, respectively, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [8] Valuation Metrics - AEM is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 19.06, which is approximately a 55.5% premium to the industry average of 12.26X [7]