Market Trend Prediction - December: Accumulation [2] - January: Up Only [2] - February: Bitcoin All-Time High (ATH) [2] - March: Altseason (Alternative cryptocurrency season) [2] - April: Bull Trap [2] - May: Dump (Market sell-off) [2] - June: Bear Market [2]

Market Outlook - A broad altseason resembling 2021 is deemed unlikely due to increased token supply [1] - Fragmented liquidity and attention contribute to the diminished prospects of a widespread altseason [1] - Institutional investors show a preference for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) [1] - The absence of breakout applications further hinders the potential for a broad altseason [1] Altcoin Performance - Altcoin performance is expected to be slower, more selective, and driven by fundamentals [1] - DeFi blue chips and strong projects are favored in the current environment [1] - Liquidity is polarizing between institutional-grade assets and high-risk meme coins [1] - Mid-tier tokens are expected to face challenges [1]

Core Insights - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing tightening liquidity, with a significant slowdown in capital inflows ahead of the holiday season [1][2] - The 60-day market cap change of Tether's USDT has decreased from $15.38 billion on November 1 to $4.83 billion recently, indicating a contraction in available capital [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The stablecoin supply has remained relatively stable between $285 billion and $290 billion, suggesting that while funds are present in the ecosystem, they are not being actively deployed [3] - Stablecoin exchange reserves reached an all-time high of $80 billion but saw an 11% drop during Bitcoin's recovery, indicating cautious capital deployment [3][4] Group 2: Capital Deployment and Market Sentiment - Capital is described as cautious, with investors waiting for lower prices or engaging in short-term rotations without significant commitments, which limits potential market gains [4] - Bitcoin's liquidity remains resilient but is weakening, with potential upside capped without renewed demand for ETFs or expansion of stablecoins [4] Group 3: Future Price Predictions - Bitcoin is expected to trade between the "true mean" price of around $81,000 and the short-term holder cost basis of approximately $102,000, with potential for price consolidation [6] - A breakout above the short-term holder cost basis could lead to new highs, while failure to maintain support above the true mean could indicate deeper bearish momentum [7]

Market Performance - Crypto market has experienced negative performance in the last 30 days [1] - $SOON shows the worst performance with a decrease of 83% [1] - $LGCT decreased by 76% [1] - $H decreased by 73% [1] - $FTN decreased by 68% [1] - $MMT decreased by 64% [1] - $ICP decreased by 62% [1] - $LUCIC decreased by 60% [1] - $PLUME and $CCD both decreased by 56% [1] - $SAHARA decreased by 54% [1] - $MPLX and $COAI both decreased by 53% [1]

Market Sentiment - Crypto community anticipates potential bullish scenarios for Christmas, including Bitcoin reaching $150K and the start of altseason [1] Cryptocurrency Focus - The discussion centers around Bitcoin (BTC) and alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) [1]

Market Trends - Altseason is coming [1]

Market Focus - The market conversation was dominated by $SPX and $KAS, regardless of altseason trends [1] Project Update - The report covers the @megaeth raise and refund [1] - Alpha information is available via the provided link [1]

Market Sentiment - Altseason is confirmed for Q1 2026 [1] - Bitcoin exceeding $90,000 indicates market recovery [1] - Recommendation to buy all assets, specifically Dogecoin (DOG) [1]

Market Trend - Industry anticipates "ALTSEASON 3.0" [1] - Expectation of a significant price surge or "pump" in alternative cryptocurrencies [1]

RT THE HUNTER ✴️ (@TrueGemHunter)🔥 $BTC dominance is slowly coming down and alts are no longer moving down with BTC👀 The monthly chart looks just like Q4 2020 and we all know what came after🔸Altseason kicked off in Q1 2021So maybe Q1 2026 is preparing for something even bigger‼️ One more shakeout left https://t.co/fUfDm44aaC ...