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Will MP Materials Stock Have Room to Run in 2026?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-11 11:00
Core Insights - MP Materials has experienced a significant stock surge of over 270% in 2025, with expectations for production ambitions to materialize in 2026 [1][3] - The mining industry, particularly rare-earth metal companies, is gaining critical importance amid rising U.S.-China tensions, leading to substantial market value increases for North American metal companies [2] Company Overview - MP Materials operates the Mountain Pass mine in California, one of the few active rare-earth mines in the U.S. [3] - The company's market capitalization stands at $10 billion, with a current stock price of $58.03 [4] Recent Developments - In 2025, MP Materials secured three major deals, including a $400 million investment from the Department of Defense (DoD) and a $500 million multiyear agreement with Apple for high-performance magnets [6][7] - The DoD's agreement includes a $150 million loan and guarantees a market for 100% of the magnets produced at MP's 10X Facility for ten years [6] Production and Future Prospects - MP Materials reported record production of neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide and metal output, with expectations to turn a profit in Q4 2025 [8][10] - The construction of the 10X Facility is underway, which will enhance production capacity, and a heavy rare-earth separation facility is expected to be commissioned in late 2026 [10][12] Strategic Importance - The ability to produce dysprosium and terbium domestically would enhance MP's strategic importance and expand its addressable market, given China's control over the supply chain for these metals [12]