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The Long View: Sara Devereux - Bonds Are Still Ballast
Youtube· 2026-02-11 16:20
Core Insights - Vanguard's fixed income group has evolved significantly under Sarah Devero's leadership, focusing on active management and ETFs to enhance investment success for clients [5][10][15] - The firm has launched 23 new products in the past year, with a notable increase in assets under management from $1.9 trillion to $2.8 trillion [14][15] - Vanguard emphasizes a low-cost structure, with 98% of active funds priced in the lowest decile of their category, and 85% of bond funds outperforming peers over a 10-year period [16] Leadership and Team Evolution - Sarah Devero joined Vanguard in 2019, attracted by the firm's reputation and mission to provide investors with the best chance of investment success [6][7] - The team has been strengthened by both internal expertise and external talent, fostering a collaborative culture that enhances performance [12][20] Active Management Strategy - Vanguard's approach to active fixed income management focuses on consistency and reliability, utilizing a team-based strategy rather than individual star managers [19][22] - The firm employs a rigorous active process that includes top-down and bottom-up analysis, with a strong emphasis on risk management [24][28] ETF Market Trends - The ETF market has seen rapid growth, with fixed income ETFs representing a significant opportunity for Vanguard, which has a long history in both active management and ETFs [35][39] - Active ETFs are emerging as a key growth area, with over 75% of fixed income ETFs launched in 2025 being active [37] Technology and Innovation - Vanguard is investing heavily in technology to enhance portfolio management, focusing on big data, AI, and automation to improve decision-making and execution [63][64] - The firm has developed tools that streamline trading processes and enhance the efficiency of portfolio managers [68][69] Market Performance and Outlook - The bond market performed well in 2025, driven by elevated yields and strong corporate fundamentals, with bonds providing stability during equity market volatility [72][74] - The outlook for fixed income in 2026 is positive, with expectations of continued income generation and a focus on managing risks related to the labor market and inflation [92][93] Credit Market Dynamics - Public credit fundamentals remain strong, but tight spreads necessitate diligence in extracting value, particularly in high-yield sectors [108][112] - The evolution of private credit has created new opportunities, although it comes with risks related to liquidity and transparency [54][110]