Balance sheet clarity

Search documents
Connecticut's Utility Overhaul Creates Tailwinds For Eversource Stock: Analyst
Benzingaยท 2025-10-21 18:07
Core Viewpoint - Eversource Energy is positioned for steadier growth due to an improving regulatory environment in Connecticut, leading to an upgrade from Bank of America to Buy with a price forecast increase to $85 from $73 [1][6]. Regulatory Environment - Connecticut is experiencing a positive regulatory reset following structural and leadership changes at the Public Utilities Regulatory Authority (PURA) [2]. - The implementation of Senate Bill 4, which expands PURA to five commissioners and allows for the securitization of storm costs, is seen as a significant turning point [3]. - The nomination of four new PURA commissioners by Governor Lamont, described as more balanced and technically experienced, indicates a shift towards stability in regulatory proceedings [4]. Near-Term Catalysts - Key near-term catalysts include the proposed decision on the Aquarion sale and the final order on Yankee Gas, with expectations that Eversource will re-market the segment if the sale is not approved [5]. - The clarity of the balance sheet is expected to unlock further rate base growth, with approximately $3 billion in deferred items being addressed [6]. Financial Projections - Bank of America has raised its earnings outlook for Eversource Energy, projecting 2026 earnings of $5.05 per share, an increase from $4.95, with 2027 and 2028 estimates also raised [6]. - The bank maintains a 5-7% EPS CAGR outlook through 2029, projecting gradual improvement in FFO-to-debt to 14.2% [7]. Valuation - The price forecast of $85 is based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation, applying 2027 average peer price-to-earnings multiples of 16.4x for the electric segment and 16.1x for natural gas, adjusted upward by 5% for expected earnings growth potential [8].