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花旗:中国电池供应链实地调研_2025 年 7 月生产计划前瞻
花旗· 2025-06-30 01:02
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies within it [2]. Core Insights - The production pipeline of the top-5 battery makers is estimated to increase by 6% month-over-month (MoM) and 48% year-over-year (YoY) [1]. - CATL's production pipeline is projected to rise by 13% MoM, while BYD's is expected to decrease by 4% MoM [1]. - Battery materials manufacturers are taking a cautious approach, with electrolyte, cathode, and anode production pipelines estimated to increase by 0%, 3%, and 2% MoM, respectively [1]. - Lithium production is forecasted to grow by 5% MoM, which may pose downside risks to recent lithium market calls if supply continues to increase [1]. Summary by Sections Production Pipeline - The top-5 battery makers are experiencing a significant increase in their production pipeline, with a 6% MoM and 48% YoY growth [1]. - CATL's production pipeline is notably improving, likely due to new production lines rather than demand-driven factors [1]. - BYD's production pipeline is showing a decline of 4% MoM [1]. Battery Materials - The production pipelines for battery materials are showing modest increases, with electrolytes remaining flat, cathodes up by 3%, and anodes up by 2% MoM [1]. - The cautious stance of battery materials makers indicates a wait-and-see approach in the current market environment [1]. Lithium Production - Lithium production is expected to rise by 5% MoM, which could impact recent market forecasts negatively if the supply trend continues [1].