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Why Bitcoin May Have Formed a Bottom in November
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-25 14:23
Core Insights - Bitcoin may have successfully formed a bottom in November, but it remains uncertain whether this is a temporary situation or a long-term trend reversal [1] Group 1: Whale Activity and Market Indicators - The Whale vs. Retail Delta indicator shows a historically unprecedented bullish signal for Bitcoin, indicating that whales are holding dominant long positions for the first time, surpassing retail traders [2][3] - A significant spike in the Whale vs. Retail Delta indicator previously marked Bitcoin's bottom near the $75,000 level [5] - Bitcoin's spot trading volume on Binance exceeded $10 billion daily throughout November, significantly higher than previous months, while daily open interest declined by $5 billion [7] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The increase in spot trading volume alongside a decline in derivatives market open interest suggests a healthier market with reduced speculation [6][8] - Analysts believe that the current market flush-out resets conditions for a healthier phase, as long as the spot market remains active [9] Group 3: Analyst Perspectives - While some analysts suggest that Bitcoin may have formed a successful bottom, others caution that the rebound could be a "dead cat bounce," indicating a temporary recovery before a potential downtrend resumes [10] - This uncertainty may lead traders to reduce leverage and trim positions in anticipation of possible market downturns [11]