Breakeven Age Analysis
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Here’s why you ought to seriously consider taking Social Security at 62 — even if the 'basic' math suggests otherwise
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-04 10:30
Core Insights - The decision to delay Social Security benefits can be more complex than it appears, as it may not always result in a higher total lifetime payout due to longevity risk [2][3] Group 1: Delaying Benefits - Delaying Social Security benefits can increase monthly payments by up to 8% per year if postponed past full retirement age (FRA) [1] - However, if an individual delays benefits until age 70 but passes away at 72, they would only receive two years of payments, potentially resulting in a lower total payout compared to claiming earlier [4] Group 2: Longevity Risk - Estimating longevity is uncertain, with the average life expectancy in the U.S. being approximately 78.4 years, but individual outcomes can vary significantly [5] - Many individuals may live into their 80s and 90s, while others may not reach the average life expectancy [5] Group 3: Breakeven Analysis - Financial advisors often use a "breakeven age" analysis to determine the age at which cumulative benefits from delaying Social Security exceed those from claiming earlier [6] - For example, an individual eligible for $2,000 per month at age 67 would need to live to about 78 years and eight months to break even if they claimed at age 62; if they wait until age 70, the breakeven age increases to roughly 80 years and five months [6]