Budget reconciliation
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Trump policy benefits will start to emerge in 2026, says Strategas' Dan Clifton
Youtube· 2026-02-25 19:48
Economic Policy and Tax Cuts - The president's recent speech emphasized the benefits of a significant bill passed in 2025, with $150 billion in new tax cuts for American workers expected to be realized in 2026 [1] - Businesses will benefit from $200 billion in capital investment due to 100% expensing of capital equipment, R&D, and property [1] - The administration is not expected to pursue large new tax cuts following the recent reconciliation bill, focusing instead on smaller measures like housing and infrastructure [1] Housing Market and Financial Sector - Housing stocks declined due to the lack of a comprehensive housing plan, with specific bills like manufactured housing expected to be introduced [2][4] - Financial deregulation is seen as a priority, with the potential to lower mortgage rates, which are currently at their lowest in four years [4][5] - The performance of bank stocks is more closely tied to the yield curve rather than financial deregulation, indicating a challenging environment for financial institutions [6][7] Defense and Technology - The president's speech included a warning about Iran's missile capabilities, which could provide a pretext for military action if negotiations fail [1] - There was a lack of discussion on AI, which is currently unpopular among voters, but there are plans to facilitate tech companies in building data centers to circumvent local opposition [2]