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经合组织经济调查:德国2025
OECD· 2025-06-11 04:10
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The German economy has faced significant challenges due to the COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical tensions, and rising trade issues, necessitating accelerated structural reforms to revive growth [29][30][31] - Key recommendations include enhancing fiscal sustainability, fostering competition, addressing skilled labor shortages, and promoting regional development during transitions to green and digital economies [29][30][61] Summary by Sections 1. Strengthening Fiscal Policy and Continuing Structural Reforms - The German economy is stagnating due to a combination of external shocks and structural issues, with a need for reforms to improve fiscal sustainability and address rising spending pressures from an aging population [63][64] - Structural reforms should focus on increasing spending efficiency, reallocating resources, and broadening the tax base to support infrastructure and defense spending [33][36] 2. Fostering Competition to Revive Business Dynamism and Productivity Growth - High administrative burdens and regulatory barriers hinder business dynamism and innovation, necessitating a review and simplification of regulations [44][46] - The report emphasizes the importance of reducing barriers to entry in services and strengthening competition enforcement to enhance productivity [44][46] 3. Addressing Skilled Labour Shortages - Skilled labor shortages are a significant concern, exacerbated by demographic changes and a decline in working hours, requiring improved incentives for labor supply, particularly for women and older workers [50][51] - Recommendations include phasing out early retirement incentives and enhancing vocational training and adult education to better align skills with labor market needs [52][53] 4. Fostering Regional Development in Times of Structural Change - Regional disparities in living standards persist, and the green and digital transitions risk widening these gaps, highlighting the need for better coordination of policies and improved municipal capacities [56][58] - The report suggests using updated property values to enhance municipal tax revenues and improve financial accountability [58][59]