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CHWY in Dog House After Earnings, Still Holds Long-Term Bull Case
Youtubeยท 2025-09-10 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Chewy, a leading pet product retailer, reported strong earnings with a 9% sales growth and an increase in active customers, but the stock experienced a decline due to profit numbers aligning with consensus expectations rather than exceeding them [2][3][5]. Financial Performance - Sales grew by 9% year-over-year, with active customers increasing by 4.5%, marking the third consecutive quarter of growth in this metric [2][3]. - Net sales per active customer reached an all-time high of approximately $591 annually, indicating potential for further growth in both active customer numbers and spending per customer [3][5]. Profitability Insights - The profit for the quarter was in line with consensus, attributed to one-time headwinds such as fulfillment center expansion and increased labor costs, as well as frontloaded inventory at tariffs [4][10]. - Gross margins expanded by 80 basis points, largely due to growth in the high-margin Chewy Ads business [8]. Growth Initiatives - Chewy is expanding into fresh and frozen food categories, which are currently growing in the mid-teens percentage range [5][6]. - The company is enhancing its loyalty program, Chewy Plus, which currently represents only 3% of net sales but is showing strong growth [6]. - Chewy is also increasing its healthcare offerings, including more prescriptions and the opening of physical vet clinics, with plans for long-term growth in this area [6][7]. Competitive Landscape - Chewy faces competition from major retailers like Amazon, Walmart, and Costco, but has managed to maintain strong growth, with net sales up 9% despite this competitive environment [12][13]. - A significant portion of Chewy's customers are also Amazon Prime members, yet this has not negatively impacted Chewy's financial performance, suggesting a differentiated platform and strong customer service [13][14]. Investment Outlook - Analysts maintain a strong buy rating on Chewy with a target price of $53, viewing the current stock decline as a buying opportunity due to the potential for long-term growth and margin expansion [5][10]. - The company has no long-term debt and generates substantial free cash flow, further supporting its investment appeal [8].