Core Insights - The housing market is experiencing a significant shift due to high mortgage rates and declining new construction, creating opportunities for large landlords as homeownership becomes less attainable for many families [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The gap between buying and renting has reached historic levels, with home prices needing to drop by approximately 24% to make buying competitive with renting, a scenario analysts consider unlikely [2]. - A supply crunch is emerging as new housing starts decline, with net apartment deliveries expected to fall to around 243,000 units in 2026, below the long-term average of 285,000 units [5]. - Demand for rentals is expected to remain strong as many potential buyers are priced out of the market, leading to renewed pricing power for landlords [6]. Group 2: Rental Market Outlook - Redfin forecasts that rents will increase by 2% to 3% nationwide in 2026, driven by the combination of steady demand and limited supply [6]. - The "Great Housing Reset" is anticipated to begin in 2026, where income growth may finally outpace home price growth, but relief for buyers will be slow [3][4]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Apartment REITs are being viewed as a contrarian value play, trading at a multiple of 15.3x funds from operations (FFO), significantly lower than the 10-year average of 19.2x [7]. - Major players in the rental market, such as Camden Property Trust, are well-positioned to benefit from the current market dynamics, as renting becomes the only viable option for many Americans [8].