Core Thesis - Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) is undervalued by the market despite its transformation into a stable, higher-margin packaged food company, trading at 10-11x forward earnings compared to peers like Hormel at 17x and Tyson at 14-15x [2][4] Business Transformation - The core business of SFD is Packaged Meats, which generates 75% of profits through brands such as Armour, Smithfield, and Eckrich, benefiting from SKU rationalization and expansion into higher-growth categories [3] - Fresh Pork has been transformed from a breakeven processor into a stable profit center, while Hog Production is being reduced through outsourcing to mitigate earnings volatility [4] Financial Position - SFD has a disciplined leadership team focused on capital allocation, a new dividend, low leverage, and a long-term plan to repurchase WH Group's majority stake, positioning itself as a consistent consumer packaged goods (CPG) operator [4] Market Dynamics and Catalysts - Near-term catalysts include a potential "beat and raise" setup due to conservative management guidance and favorable protein dynamics, with beef prices at record highs driving consumer trade-down to pork [5] - As the business mix shifts towards high-margin packaged foods, earnings are expected to stabilize, encouraging a re-rating towards CPG multiples, with a valuation target of 13-14x 2026 EPS of $2.50, indicating a 40% upside to $32-$35 [5]