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Struggling Macy's Stock Flashing Bearish Signal
Schaeffers Investment Researchยท 2025-07-08 18:22
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Macy's Inc (NYSE:M) stock is facing significant resistance around the $12.60 level, which has limited gains for the past couple of months, and the 100-day moving average is also exerting overhead pressure, indicating potential downturns in the future [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock is currently trading at $12.59, reflecting a 1.1% increase [1] - Since reaching a four-year low of $9.76 on April 8, Macy's stock has struggled to recover and is down approximately 26% year-to-date [3] Group 2: Technical Indicators - The stock is within 0.75 of the 100-day moving average's 20-day average true range (ATR), having spent over 80% of the last 10 days and two months above this level [2] - Historical data shows that after similar technical signals in the past three years, Macy's stock was lower one month later 80% of the time, averaging a 7.8% loss, which would place the shares at approximately $11.61 if this trend continues [2] Group 3: Options Market Sentiment - There is a potential unwinding of optimism among options traders, as indicated by a high 10-day call/put volume ratio of 7.47, which ranks higher than 86% of readings from the past year [3]