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Should You Buy, Hold or Sell CGC Stock Post Q2 Earnings Release?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-13 15:01
Core Insights - Canopy Growth Corporation reported a narrower-than-expected loss of 1 cent for Q2 fiscal 2026, significantly better than the 95-cent loss from the previous year, although sales fell short of estimates with a 6% year-over-year increase to over $48 million (~C$67 million) [1][10] Group 1: Financial Performance - Cannabis revenues increased by 12% year over year, driven by a 30% rise in adult-use and a 17% increase in medical cannabis sales in Canada [3][4][10] - The overall gross margins for Q2 decreased by 200 basis points to 33%, attributed to lower sales of higher-margin cannabis in international markets and increased inventory provisions [8] - Adjusted EBITDA improved by 45% year over year, aided by lower selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses [8][10] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Canopy's cannabis business is expanding in both recreational and medical markets, with strong growth in adult-use and medical cannabis segments across Canada [3] - The international cannabis division faced challenges due to supply-chain issues in Europe, while Storz & Bickel struggled against last year's elevated sales levels [5][6] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on streamlining operations by exiting lower-margin businesses and selling non-core assets to enhance liquidity and reduce operating expenses [7] - Canopy aims to achieve sustained profitability through operational efficiencies, improved cultivation yields, and tighter supplier management [9] Group 4: Future Outlook - Canopy anticipates growth acceleration in the second half of fiscal 2026, supported by new product launches and efforts to stabilize its European supply chain [6] - The company expects a rebound in Storz & Bickel revenues in Q3, driven by new product uptake and seasonal demand [6] Group 5: Competitive Landscape - Canopy faces intense competition from other cannabis operators like Aurora Cannabis, Curaleaf Holdings, and Tilray Brands, all pursuing aggressive international expansion and cost-optimization strategies [11] Group 6: Stock Performance and Analyst Sentiment - Canopy Growth's shares have declined by 57% year to date, contrasting with a 3% growth in the industry [12] - Recent upward revisions in bottom-line estimates indicate growing analyst optimism regarding Canopy's operational progress [14][16]