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全球宏观策略:观点与交易思路 -削减、建立、对话:美联储、资本支出热潮-Global Macro Strategy - Views and Trade Ideas_ Cut, Build, Talk_ The Fed, the Capex Boom and Trump_Putin
2025-08-18 02:52
V i e w p o i n t | 14 Aug 2025 20:17:45 ET │ 26 pages Global Macro Strategy - Views and Trade Ideas Stay long local EM and EM carry — We continue to stay long EM local, FX hedged, into the Sep FOMC. Growth may still come off in the RoW, when there is pay back for tariff front-running. Separately, we are long EM carry. Of our two warning signals, positioning is currently a headwind, although it only becomes a problem if volatility spikes, too. Unwinding our SNB payer — We took profits on one of our very few ...