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Stride is Trading at a Discount: Right Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-04 15:56
Core Insights - Stride, Inc. (LRN) is trading at a discount with a forward P/E ratio of 7.11 compared to the industry average of 12.59 and the Consumer Discretionary sector's 18.65 [1][2] - The company faces near-term challenges due to technical glitches affecting its platform, which have led to a significant decline in share price by 61.9% over the past three months [4][17] - Despite these challenges, Stride's long-term prospects are promising, particularly in its Career Learning segment, which has shown strong revenue growth [10][14] Valuation and Market Position - LRN's discounted valuation presents an attractive entry point for investors interested in the education market [2][26] - The company is experiencing enrollment risks, with EPS estimates for FY26 and FY27 cut by 4.8% and 8.3% respectively due to these challenges [8][24] Growth Drivers - Stride is expanding its Career Learning offerings, which include hybrid and in-person options in fields like healthcare and IT, aligning with market trends towards virtual and career-oriented education [9][10] - The Career Learning segment reported a revenue increase of 16.3% year-over-year to $257.8 million in Q1 of fiscal 2026, with enrollments growing by 20% [10] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focused on providing affordable learning options amid economic challenges, including free ELA tutoring for younger students and personalized career-focused programs [11][12] - Stride has set ambitious fiscal 2028 targets, projecting revenues between $2.7 billion and $3.3 billion, with adjusted operating income and EPS targets reflecting strong growth expectations [13][14] Competitive Landscape - Stride competes with major players like Grand Canyon Education, Strategic Education, and Adtalem Global Education, each with distinct strengths in the education market [20][21][22] - The company's competitive advantage lies in its diversified Career Learning portfolio, which integrates K-12 pathways with adult education, although execution and partnerships will be crucial for maintaining this edge [23] Financial Health - As of September 30, 2025, Stride maintained a stable liquidity position with cash and cash equivalents of $518.4 million, sufficient to meet long-term obligations [15] - The company is committed to a balanced capital allocation strategy, focusing on organic growth, acquisitions, and shareholder returns [16]