Chemical industry slowdown
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Evaluating Dow Stock's Actual Performance
The Motley Foolยท 2025-12-04 19:10
Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry, particularly companies like Dow, has faced significant challenges over the past year, leading to poor stock performance and dividend cuts, which have negatively impacted shareholder returns [1][2][3]. Group 1: One-Year Performance - Dow's stock price fell approximately 20% from December 2024 to March 2025 due to an industrywide slowdown [2]. - Following the announcement of a dividend cut from $0.70 to $0.35 per share, Dow's stock dropped an additional 20% [2]. - As of December, Dow's one-year price change was negative 46.3%, contrasting sharply with the S&P 500's increase of 13.1% during the same period [3]. Group 2: Market Capitalization and Key Metrics - Dow's current market capitalization stands at $17 billion, with a current stock price of $22.94 [4][5]. - The company has a gross margin of 6.92% and a dividend yield of 8.84%, despite the recent dividend reduction [5]. Group 3: Three-Year and Five-Year Performance - Over three years, Dow's stock has seen a negative return of 53.4%, with a total return basis of negative 44.2% [6]. - The S&P 500 has outperformed Dow significantly, with a 67.4% increase in absolute terms during the same period [7]. - In the five-year timeframe, Dow's return is negative 55.5% on an absolute basis and negative 41.6% on a total return basis, trailing the S&P 500 by approximately 142 percentage points [8]. Group 4: Historical Context and Future Outlook - Dow's total returns were competitive with the broader market until early 2023, but the stock plateaued while the market continued to rise [9]. - The recent dividend cut may position Dow for future success once the chemical industry recovers, although the timing of such recovery remains uncertain [9].