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税率远远高于预期,企业开始考虑离场,美关税大棒砸伤东南亚外国投资
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-04-07 22:49
Group 1 - The recent tariff measures by the U.S. targeting Southeast Asian economies, particularly Vietnam, are expected to disrupt trade and supply chains, leading to lowered economic forecasts for multiple countries in the region [1][6] - The U.S. has imposed a 10% minimum baseline tariff and higher tariffs on specific countries, with Vietnam facing a 46% tariff, Thailand 36%, Indonesia 32%, and Malaysia 24% [2][4] - The apparel and textile sectors in Vietnam, which heavily rely on exports to the U.S., are likely to be significantly impacted, with a projected export value of $44 billion in 2024 [4][6] Group 2 - Companies that previously benefited from the U.S. trade policies are now reconsidering their production strategies due to the unexpected high tariffs, which may lead to contract modifications or relocations [5][6] - Major tech companies like Dell and HP are already adjusting their production footprints, with Dell producing about 25% of its laptops in Vietnam and considering expansion in Thailand [5][6] - Economic analysts have downgraded growth forecasts for several Southeast Asian countries, with Vietnam's growth potentially facing a 3% reduction due to the tariffs [6][7] Group 3 - Malaysia's Prime Minister has indicated that the 24% tariff could necessitate a reassessment of the country's economic growth target, which was initially set between 4.5% and 5.5% [7] - Thailand's Prime Minister has acknowledged that the tariffs will have a significant negative impact on exports, particularly in electronics, processed foods, and agricultural products [7]