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PPL Stock Underperforms Its Industry YTD: What Should Investors Do?
ZACKS· 2025-07-07 16:50
Core Viewpoint - PPL Corporation (PPL) is experiencing growth driven by increased demand from data centers, particularly in Pennsylvania and Kentucky, despite its stock underperforming compared to the broader utility industry [1][2][23]. Group 1: Performance and Demand - PPL shares have gained 4.2% year-to-date, while the Zacks Utility-Electric Power industry has rallied 8.9% [1]. - The company is benefiting from nearly 11 gigawatts (GW) of potential data center demand, with an estimated transmission capital investment of $700 million to $850 million [6]. - Active data center requests in Pennsylvania have surged to 50 GW for the 2026-2034 period, while Kentucky has announced a 400 megawatt (MW) hyperscale data center campus [6]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - PPL is focusing on infrastructure construction projects for generation, transmission, and distribution, resulting in fewer outages for customers [4]. - The company is implementing its "Utility of the Future" strategy, which includes an IT transformation to standardize operations and enhance grid resilience against weather risks [5]. - PPL plans to invest $20 billion from 2025 through 2028 to meet rising demand and improve service quality [7][9]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates PPL's earnings per share (EPS) will increase by 7.69% in 2025 and 7.97% in 2026 [11]. - PPL has a history of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 8.84% over the last four quarters [13]. - The company aims to reduce operating and maintenance costs by at least $150 million by 2025 and $175 million by 2026 to enhance margins [10]. Group 4: Dividend and Valuation - PPL plans to increase its annual dividend by 6-8% through at least 2028, with a current quarterly dividend of 27.25 cents per share [16]. - The targeted dividend payout ratio is expected to be in the range of 60-65% [17]. - PPL's trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) is 9.14%, lower than the industry average of 10.31% [19].
Vistra Reports Mixed Q1 Earnings Results: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-12 17:15
Core Viewpoint - Vistra Corp. reported mixed first-quarter 2025 earnings, with earnings per share of 46 cents, aligning with estimates, but total revenues of $3.93 billion fell short of the $4.4 billion consensus estimate by 10.7% [1][7]. Financial Performance - Total revenues increased by 28.8% from $3.05 billion in the same quarter last year [7]. - The company reported earnings of 46 cents per share, compared to 23 cents per share in the year-ago quarter [8]. - Vistra has experienced mixed earnings expectations in recent quarters, with two misses, one beat, and one in-line result, leading to an average positive surprise of 58.13% [2]. Market Position and Stock Performance - Vistra's shares have outperformed the industry and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite over the past year [3]. - The stock is currently trading at a premium valuation, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.61X, compared to the industry average of 14.22X [17]. Growth Drivers - The company benefits from strong demand for clean electricity, particularly from large-scale data centers and the electrification of oil field operations in the Permian Basin [11]. - Vistra's integrated business model and high availability of generation assets (over 95% for nuclear) provide a competitive advantage [12][20]. - The company has hedged 100% of its expected production for 2025 and 90% for 2026, enhancing visibility of long-term earnings [10]. Strategic Initiatives - Vistra continues to repurchase shares, executing nearly $5.2 billion in buybacks since November 2021 [8]. - The company holds multiple sites with land and interconnection infrastructure for future clean energy projects, positioning it well for growth [14]. Profitability Metrics - Vistra's trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) stands at 87.33%, significantly higher than the industry average of 10.34% [15].