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UUUU vs. CCJ: Which Uranium Miner is the Better Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 15:16
Core Insights - Energy Fuels Inc. and Cameco Corporation are positioned to benefit from the strengthening global nuclear energy supply chain, with uranium futures reaching $89 per pound, a 31.7% year-over-year increase, marking the highest level in nearly 20 months [2]. Group 1: Energy Fuels Inc. - Energy Fuels has been the leading U.S. producer of natural uranium concentrate, accounting for roughly two-thirds of domestic production since 2017, with its White Mesa Mill being the only fully licensed conventional uranium processing facility in the U.S. [4]. - In 2025, Energy Fuels' Pinyon Plain Mine and La Sal Complex produced over 1.6 million pounds of uranium, exceeding guidance by approximately 11%, with current operations running at an annualized rate of about 2 million pounds [5]. - The company has secured two uranium supply contracts with U.S. nuclear utilities for deliveries from 2027 through 2032, expecting to sell 780,000–880,000 pounds of uranium under long-term contracts in 2026 [6]. - Energy Fuels is diversifying into rare earth elements (REEs), expecting to commence commercial-scale production of heavy rare earths this year, and plans to expand REE processing capacity significantly [7][8]. - The feasibility study for the Vara Mada project in Madagascar confirms strong project economics and an initial mine life of 38 years, with a planned capital cost of $410 million [8]. Group 2: Cameco Corporation - Cameco accounts for around 16% of global uranium output and operates across the entire nuclear fuel cycle, holding significant stakes in major mines like McArthur River and Cigar Lake [9][10]. - Cameco revised its 2025 production outlook due to development delays, projecting a share of production from McArthur River at 9.8-10.5 million pounds [11]. - The company expects to offset production shortfalls with strong performance from Cigar Lake and is working to extend its mine life to 2036 [12]. - Cameco has entered a strategic partnership with the U.S. government to accelerate nuclear reactor technology deployment, backed by an investment of at least $80 billion [13]. Group 3: Financial Estimates and Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Energy Fuels indicates a revenue drop of 28.3% in 2026, with expected losses narrowing to 34 cents per share in 2025 [14]. - In contrast, Cameco's 2025 revenue is expected to grow by 4%, with earnings projected to surge by 100% to 98 cents per share [16]. - Year-to-date, Energy Fuels stock has appreciated 358.5%, outperforming Cameco's 159.2% gain, but Energy Fuels trades at a significantly higher forward price-to-sales multiple of 58.11X compared to Cameco's 21.95X [19][20]. Group 4: Conclusion - Both companies are well-positioned to benefit from favorable long-term trends in uranium demand, with Energy Fuels standing out for its strategic importance to U.S. uranium supply and diversification into REEs [21]. - However, Energy Fuels faces expected losses and a significantly expensive valuation, while Cameco offers stronger earnings visibility and a more reasonable valuation [24]. - Cameco appears better positioned for investors seeking exposure to uranium with a more balanced risk-reward profile, supported by its Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) compared to Energy Fuels' Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [25].