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What's Next For OKTA Stock?
Forbes· 2025-05-28 10:40
Core Viewpoint - Okta, Inc. reported strong financial results for Q1 of fiscal 2026, exceeding Wall Street expectations in earnings and revenue, but the guidance provided led to a significant stock decline of 13% in after-hours trading [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q1, Okta achieved earnings of $0.86 per share on revenue of $688 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $0.77 per share and $680 million in sales [2][3]. - The company's revenue grew by 12% year-over-year, primarily driven by increasing subscription services [3][4]. - Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) increased by 21% year-over-year to $4.1 billion, indicating strong future revenue potential [3]. Operational Efficiency - Okta improved its adjusted operating margin by 500 basis points to 27% in Q1, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency [4]. - The combination of revenue growth and margin expansion resulted in a 32% increase in earnings per share [4]. Future Outlook - For fiscal 2026, Okta projects earnings between $3.23 and $3.28 per share on approximately $2.85 billion in sales, considering potential risks from the uncertain economic environment [5]. - The stock is currently valued at about 8 times its trailing revenues, slightly above its three-year average price-to-sales ratio of around 7x, suggesting room for growth despite the recent pullback [6]. Valuation and Market Position - The recent 13% decline in stock price post-Q1 announcement is viewed as overdone, with strong performance indicators justifying a potential upward revision of its valuation multiple [6]. - Okta's underlying business fundamentals show resilience and strategic momentum in the competitive cloud-based identity management market [7].