Coffee Strategy
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Will Coca-Cola's Coffee Bet Perk Up Its Global Beverage Sales?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-06 16:51
Core Insights - The Coca-Cola Company's ambition to enter the global coffee segment is ongoing, with the acquisition of Costa aimed at unlocking various verticals, including retail and ready-to-drink formats, although progress has been slower than expected [1][2][3] Company Strategy - Management has acknowledged that the initial investment hypothesis for Costa has not fully materialized, with growth primarily in physical locations rather than diversified platforms [2] - Despite underperformance, Costa remains profitable and strategically important, with Coca-Cola focusing on affordability, store refreshment, and service speed to stabilize its performance while pursuing long-term transformation initiatives [3][9] Future Outlook - Coca-Cola is likely to adopt a more measured and insight-driven approach to its coffee strategy, leveraging its existing $30 billion brands and innovation pipeline to tap into global consumption trends [4] - The coffee segment is viewed as a strategic growth lever with untapped potential, contingent on aligning execution with evolving consumer behavior [4] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like PepsiCo and Keurig Dr Pepper are also enhancing their presence in the coffee market, with unique brand partnerships and distribution strengths [5] - PepsiCo's coffee focus remains limited, but it may explore selective innovations or partnerships in the future [6] - Keurig Dr Pepper has shown sequential improvement in its coffee business, focusing on premium and cold segments despite facing near-term cost and tariff challenges [7] Financial Performance - Coca-Cola's shares have increased by 10.9% year-to-date, outperforming the industry growth of 3.7% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.11X, significantly higher than the industry's 17.39X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Coca-Cola's earnings implies year-over-year growth of 3.1% for 2025 and 8.3% for 2026, with recent estimates remaining unchanged [12]