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Golar LNG Limited (GLNG): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Financeยท 2025-10-08 16:56
Core Thesis - Golar LNG Limited (GLNG) presents a compelling investment case with substantial upside potential that is currently underappreciated by the market [2][4] Valuation and Financial Metrics - As of September 25th, GLNG's share price was $40.57, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 26.04 and 47.17 respectively [1] - Management's conservative 2028 net asset value (NAV) estimate is $65 per share, accounting for high capital costs and cautious LNG price assumptions [2] - By applying comparable multiples, Golar could be valued around $100 per share [3] Competitive Positioning - Golar's returns on capital employed (ROCE) are robust due to lower capital expenditures compared to peers like Venture Global and Cheniere, which trade at higher multiples despite more expensive projects [2] - Golar's projects benefit from USD-denominated contracts under English law, covering operational, maintenance, and local tax risks, thereby reducing execution risk [3] Market Sentiment and Catalysts - Investor sentiment in the broader LNG sector has influenced Golar's stock price, overshadowing company-specific catalysts such as long-term contracts with Hilli and Fuji [3] - The upcoming U.S. bond issuance could enhance visibility among debt investors, highlighting the structural value in Golar's portfolio [4] Historical Context - Previous bullish theses on Golar LNG have emphasized its market position and potential upside from commodity-linked tariffs, with fundamentals remaining strong [5]