Comparable Store Sales Growth

Search documents
Will TJX's 4% Comp Sales Growth Power Full-Year Earnings Upside?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-15 14:15
Core Insights - The TJX Companies, Inc. reported a consolidated comparable store sales increase of 4% in Q2 of fiscal 2026, exceeding internal projections and contributing to an updated full-year outlook [1][8] - The strong performance was broad-based, with customer transactions rising across all divisions, indicating the effectiveness of its value-oriented strategy [1] Sales Performance - Marmaxx (U.S.) experienced a 3% growth in comparable sales, driven by increased customer transactions and a higher average basket size [2] - HomeGoods (U.S.) achieved a notable 5% growth in comparable sales, with strong results from both HomeGoods and HomeSense banners [2] - TJX Canada reported a remarkable 9% increase in comparable sales, while TJX International saw a solid 5% gain, particularly strong in Europe and Australia [2] Financial Guidance - Due to the strong sales performance, management raised the full-year guidance for both pretax profit margin and earnings per share (EPS) [3] - The updated EPS guidance is now projected to be in the range of $4.52 to $4.57, compared to the previous guidance of $4.34 to $4.43 [3][4] - This represents a 6% to 7% increase from the year-ago figure of $4.26, highlighting the connection between sales performance and profitability confidence [4] Competitive Landscape - Costco Wholesale Corporation reported a total company comparable sales growth of 5.7% in Q3 of fiscal 2025, with U.S. comparable sales rising 6.6% [5] - Burlington Stores, Inc. achieved a 5% comparable sales increase in Q2 of fiscal 2025, maintaining cautious guidance for the second half [6] Valuation and Estimates - TJX shares have gained 4.8% in the past month, contrasting with a 1.3% decline in the industry [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 28.74X, lower than the industry average of 30.63X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TJX's fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 7% and 10.3%, respectively [11]