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Michael Saylor: Strategy Has No Liquidation Risk Until Bitcoin Falls to $8,000 — How Is That Possible?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-14 09:02
Core Insights - MicroStrategy, now operating as Strategy, has positioned itself as a leader in Bitcoin adoption, holding 713,502 BTC valued at approximately $45.5 billion at a price of $65,000 per Bitcoin [2][3] Group 1: Bitcoin Holdings and Financing - Strategy's Bitcoin portfolio is one of the largest among corporations, financed not solely by cash but also through convertible senior notes and other debt instruments [3] - The use of debt to finance Bitcoin purchases raises concerns about potential liquidation risks if Bitcoin prices decline significantly [3][4] - During the 2022 bear market, speculation about forced sales increased, but the company does not rely on high-leverage facilities that could trigger automatic liquidations [4] Group 2: Debt Structure and Liquidation Risk - Most of Strategy's debt consists of long-dated convertible notes with low interest rates (0% to 1%) and lacks margin maintenance covenants tied to Bitcoin's price [5] - Michael Saylor asserts that liquidation risk only arises if Bitcoin falls to around $8,000, at which point the company's Bitcoin holdings would equal its net debt [7] - The company plans to seek refinancing before selling Bitcoin, relying on its long-dated debt maturities and belief in Bitcoin's long-term value [7] Group 3: Strategic Positioning of Bitcoin - Saylor views Bitcoin as a long-term store of value rather than a speculative asset, positioning it as superior to cash or sovereign bonds [6] - The strategy involves issuing convertible debt that can be exchanged for equity at predetermined prices, aligning with the company's long-term vision [6] - If Bitcoin appreciates, the value of Strategy's holdings increases, potentially benefiting shareholders and strengthening the balance sheet [8]