Cost - Basis Risk
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Tom Lee’s BitMine (BMNR) Stock Faces Cost-Basis Risk — Price Breakdown at 10%?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-11 22:00
Core Insights - BitMine Immersion Technologies is facing significant financial challenges as its paper losses on Ethereum holdings deepen, with a total invested capital of nearly $15 billion and a current portfolio value of about $7.7 billion, indicating a nearly 49% loss in investment value [1][2][6] Investment Performance - The current price of Ethereum is approximately $1,950, while BitMine's realized cost basis is around $3,850, meaning most of its holdings are significantly underwater [2][6] - The company's biggest weakness is its diminishing margin of safety, as the market price remains far below the accumulated cost basis, pressuring the company to reduce its exposure [3] Technical Analysis - A hidden bearish divergence has formed, where BitMine's stock price has created lower highs while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has made higher highs, indicating weakening momentum [7] - Following this divergence, selling pressure resumed, and despite a 26% rebound from January lows, the rally could not be sustained, suggesting a potential pullback [8] Market Sentiment - The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator shows early signs of hesitation among large investors, with values below zero indicating selling pressure [9] - Although CMF trended upward between late November and early February, it failed to break above its falling trendline during the recent rebound, indicating a lack of strong support from large investors [10] Moving Averages - The 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is nearing the 200-day EMA, which may signal an early trend shift, adding to the caution regarding BitMine's stock performance [11]