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Here's How to Play Harmony Gold Stock Before FY25 Earnings Release
ZACKS· 2025-08-26 12:30
Core Viewpoint - Harmony Gold Mining Co. Ltd. (HMY) is expected to report fiscal 2025 results on August 28, with earnings estimated at $2.85 per share, indicating a 190.8% year-over-year increase [1]. Group 1: Earnings and Production Outlook - Higher gold prices and strong production in Q4 are anticipated to positively impact HMY's performance, despite challenges from rising costs [2][6]. - The consensus estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings has remained stable over the past 60 days, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [3]. - HMY is projected to meet its full-year production guidance of 1.4-1.5 million ounces, despite a 6% decline in output during the first nine months due to adverse weather conditions [5][6]. Group 2: Gold Price Dynamics - Gold prices have surged this year, reaching a record high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22, driven by safe-haven demand amid global trade tensions and geopolitical issues [4]. - Although gold prices have retreated from their April highs, they remained above $3,300 per ounce at the end of Q2 [4]. Group 3: Cost Pressures - HMY faces significant cost pressures, with all-in sustaining costs rising approximately 24% in Q3 and total cash costs increasing by 22% year-over-year [8]. - Labor and electricity costs are the largest components of HMY's cost structure, and while the company is pursuing energy-saving initiatives, higher electricity tariffs are expected to continue impacting margins [8]. Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - HMY's shares have increased by 53.4% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry and the S&P 500 [9]. - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 5.52, which is about 60.5% lower than the peer group average of 13.97 [12]. Group 5: Development Projects and Strategic Position - HMY has a diverse portfolio of gold development projects, including the Wafi-Golpu copper-gold project in Papua New Guinea, which is expected to significantly enhance the company's reserves [15]. - The company maintains a strong balance sheet and generates substantial cash flows, enabling it to finance development projects and enhance shareholder value [16]. - The acquisition of the Eva Copper project aligns with HMY's strategy to transition into a low-cost gold and copper producer, supported by favorable gold prices [17].
This Is Why UnitedHealth Stock Bounced Back, But Is Better to Avoid
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 20:01
Core Viewpoint - UnitedHealth Group has faced significant challenges, including missed earnings expectations, withdrawal of full-year guidance, and ongoing legal issues, yet recent insider buying has improved market confidence in the stock [1][8]. Group 1: Stock Performance - UnitedHealth's shares increased by 8.2% to close at $315.89 after a 23% decline the previous week, making it the top gainer on the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average [1]. - The stock is currently trading below both the short-term 50-day moving average and long-term 200-day moving average, indicating a bearish trend [9]. Group 2: Insider Transactions - CEO Stephen Hemsley purchased $25 million worth of UnitedHealth stock, acquiring 86,700 shares at an average price of $288.57 per share [2]. - CFO John Rex bought approximately $5 million of the company's stock, equal to 17,175 shares, at an average price of $291.11 [3]. - Other directors, including Timothy Flynn, John Noseworthy, and Kristen Gil, also participated in buying shares, suggesting confidence in the company's future [3]. Group 3: Financial Challenges - UnitedHealth is under investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice for potential Medicare Advantage billing fraud, which has negatively impacted its financial performance [4]. - The company suspended its 2025 outlook, indicating pressure on its business model [5]. - Operating expenses rose by 9.4% year over year in the first quarter of 2025, contributing to margin pressures [6]. - UnitedHealth carries a debt burden of $71.3 billion as of March 31, 2025, alongside high interest expenses [6]. Group 4: Market Comparison - UnitedHealth's stock has declined by 37.9% this year, while peers like Centene Corporation and Molina Healthcare have seen gains of 1.6% and 11.8%, respectively [7]. Group 5: Earnings Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UnitedHealth's earnings per share (EPS) is $23.70, down by 23.3% from a year ago, reflecting ongoing financial difficulties [10].
CPHC Q1 Loss Widens Y/Y on Casino Decline, Events Boost Revenues
ZACKS· 2025-05-15 17:51
Core Viewpoint - Canterbury Park Holding Corporation (CPHC) experienced a decline in financial performance for Q1 2025, with total net revenues falling by 6.8% year-over-year, primarily due to decreased Casino revenues and increased competition in the market [2][4][7]. Financial Performance - Total net revenues for Q1 2025 were $13.1 million, down from $14.1 million in Q1 2024, reflecting broad-based softness across key business segments [2]. - Casino revenues, the main income driver, decreased by 8.6% to $9.2 million [2]. - Pari-mutuel revenues fell by 8.2% to $1.08 million, while food and beverage revenues decreased by 5.9% to $1.62 million [3]. - Other revenues increased by 9.3% to $1.25 million, driven by higher admission revenues from large-scale special events [3]. Profitability Metrics - Net income turned to a loss of $299,000, or 6 cents per diluted share, compared to a profit of $998,000, or 20 cents per diluted share, in the prior-year period [4]. - Adjusted EBITDA fell by 39.6% to $1.94 million from $3.21 million a year earlier [4]. - EBITDA, excluding interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization, dropped sharply to $8,000 from over $1.76 million in the prior-year quarter, indicating significant margin pressure [5]. Operating Expenses - Operating expenses increased by 1.3% year-over-year to $12.5 million, driven by higher payroll expenses and increased property taxes and marketing expenses [6]. - Cost pressures were exacerbated by annual wage increases and state-mandated minimum wage hikes [6]. Management Insights - CEO Randy Sampson noted increased competition in the Casino segment as a primary factor for revenue decline and emphasized the need for a stronger marketing strategy [7]. - The company is investing in long-term projects, including the Canterbury Commons development, which is expected to drive future economic value [8]. Revenue Influences - The decline in Casino revenues was attributed to reduced wagering activity and a lower average collection rate due to competitive pressures [9]. - Pari-mutuel revenues were impacted by fewer race days at other tracks, affecting simulcast betting volume [10]. Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in future performance driven by event-driven revenue expansion, operational efficiencies, and ongoing real estate development [12]. - The company anticipates benefits from tax increment financing receivables and the completion of its barn relocation initiative by mid-2025 [12]. Development Initiatives - The Canterbury Commons real estate development is progressing, with Phase II of the Triple Crown Residences 95% leased and new commercial spaces opening [13][14]. - A new 16,000-square-foot entertainment venue is set to open in June 2025, and additional development land has been unlocked for future projects [15].