July 27, 2025 06:47 PM GMT Global Credit Brief M Global Idea What Will it Take to Widen? If you've enjoyed our Credit Research, we'd greatly appreciate your support in the 2025 Extel Global Fixed Income Poll. Our team is competing in the Credit Strategy (IG, HY and Credit Derivatives) and Sector Credit categories. From all of us in the Morgan Stanley Global Credit Research team...thank you! Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+ Andrew Sheets Strategist Andrew.Sheets@morganstanley.com +44 20 7677-2905 Low ...

Group 1 - The article provides a review of market activity in the Business Development Company (BDC) sector, focusing on both individual news and broader market trends [1] - It highlights the importance of yield and risk management in investment strategies within the BDC sector [1] - The article encourages the use of Interactive Investor Tools for navigating various investment markets, including BDCs, Closed-End Funds (CEFs), and preferred stocks [1] Group 2 - The article promotes Investor Guides related to CEFs and preferred stocks, indicating a resource for investors seeking more information [2] - A no-risk trial offer for a 2-week free trial is mentioned, suggesting an opportunity for investors to explore services without initial commitment [2]

us right now is Bill Ian. He is JP Morgan's asset management, chief investment officer uh of Absolute Return Fixed Income. Good morning. Morning, Andrew.To you as we try to figure Okay, before we even just get into the markets, do you want to weigh in on the power of it all. Yeah, I just Man, there's a guy that's getting kicked around a little bit right now. It's um it's it's interesting to watch.Um I you know, the position he's in is almost a no- win right now, right. Because I think the Fed honestly is tr ...

Global Research ab 9 July 2025 Global Strategy Navigating Summer Tariff Deadlines: Top 5 Trades & Client Positioning Summary: Investors still see tariffs as the #1 risk with little priced in for escalation. We think receiving July/Sept ECB contract is a decent hedge for FI portfolios. Most investors are sitting on cash, ready to buy the dip in case of renewed tariff-induced volatility. We open a Long EU IG vs. Itrax Main which appears well placed to benefit from potential summer volatility, supported by a c ...

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分组1 - SoFi announced monthly distributions for the SoFi Enhanced Yield ETF (THTA), with a distribution of $0.1504 per share, equating to a distribution rate of 12.00% and a 30-day SEC yield of 4.18% [2][3] - THTA, launched on November 15, 2023, aims to generate current income by holding U.S. government securities and employing a credit spread option strategy [3][2] - The ETF is a collaboration between SoFi, Tidal Investments LLC, and ZEGA Financial LLC, focusing on innovative investment strategies and enhancing yield for investors [3][5][6] 分组2 - Tidal Investments LLC is dedicated to revolutionizing ETF development and marketing, providing tools and methodologies to enhance growth potential in a competitive market [5] - ZEGA Financial LLC specializes in derivatives and offers innovative hedging strategies to help investors navigate volatile markets, leveraging technology and proprietary strategies [6] 分组3 - SoFi's mission is to assist individuals in achieving financial independence, emphasizing that financial independence is not solely about wealth but about making money work for personal goals [4]

Recent EU and to a lesser extent US economic data have surprised to the upside - our proprietary economic risk measure now less negative vs. 3m ago - challenging our initial recessionary scenario (Scenario 1 - here). While some front-loading of exports might be temporarily boosting Q2'25 EU growth, we expect momentum to fade later this year, aligning with our base case of weaker growth in Q3-Q4'25. With the US administration considering a 50% tariff on EU goods, our downside scenario implies an effective ta ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For calendar Q1, the company reported a net loss of $0.23 per share and adjusted distributable earnings of $0.26 per share [9] - The overall net interest margin increased by 20 basis points to 5.27, supported by a growing capital allocation to CLOs [9] - The economic return for the quarter was negative 3.2%, with book value per share at $6.08 [10][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The CLO portfolio increased by 46% to $250 million, while capital allocated to CLOs expanded to 81% from 72% at the end of the previous quarter [11] - The agency RMBS holdings decreased slightly to $504 million from $512 million at the end of the previous quarter [11] - The portfolio P&L by strategy showed a negative $0.24 per share from CLOs and a positive $0.08 from agency [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The market experienced strong performance in January and February, followed by turbulence in March due to fears of tariffs, slowing growth, and persistent inflation [7] - Credit spreads widened significantly in March, impacting CLO mezzanine debt and equity tranches, leading to meaningful price declines [7][8] - Recent tariff de-escalations have led to credit spreads and prices reversing course in May, recovering a significant portion of the declines [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company successfully completed its conversion to a registered closed-end fund and changed its fiscal calendar to begin on April 1 [4][5] - The strategy focuses on increasing the CLO portfolio while maintaining liquidity and flexibility in response to market conditions [22][29] - The company plans to add corporate debt to its liability structure later this year, which should be accretive to net investment income [29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while there were mark-to-market losses in calendar Q1, most price declines were driven by credit spread widening rather than realized credit losses [22] - The company is optimistic about deploying capital in a compelling market and believes it is well-positioned to drive strong earnings moving forward [29] - Management expects to be slightly short on dividend coverage in the second quarter but is on track for recovery in the third quarter [56] Other Important Information - The company disposed of all remaining mortgage positions shortly after April 1, which allowed for increased liquidity and buying power [8][25] - As of April 30, approximately 18.8% of the total portfolio, or about $59 million, was in cash and cash equivalents, providing ample dry powder for deployment [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the yield on newly acquired CLOs compare to the previous $250 million? - Management indicated that the weighted average yield varied from slightly wider to potentially hundreds of basis points back, depending on the type of assets purchased [34] Question: Is there still dry powder available for deployment? - Management confirmed that there is still good dry powder available and that cash reserves are maintained to allow for increased portfolio size [37][39] Question: What are the latest thoughts on the ADE trajectory? - Management stated that they might be slightly short on covering the dividend in the second quarter but are on track for recovery in the third quarter [56]

Group 1 - JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon highlighted that the markets have not fully accounted for risks such as inflation, stagflation, credit spreads, tariffs, and geopolitical challenges [1] - Dimon expressed concerns about the greater likelihood of inflation and stagflation than commonly perceived, and noted that credit spreads have not factored in a potential downturn [1] - Despite economic uncertainties, JPMorgan Chase is projecting an increase in earnings from interest payments this year [2] Group 2 - JPMorgan's Chief Financial Officer Jeremy Barnum indicated that the bank's net interest income could rise by $1 billion this year, although the full-year projection of $94.5 billion remains unchanged for now [3] - The bank anticipates a net charge-off rate for credit card debt to be between 3.6% and 3.9% for 2026, compared to an expected 3.6% for the current year [4] - Consumer confidence and small business sentiment have worsened, with over half of businesses in goods-producing sectors expecting negative impacts from tariffs, driven by supply chain disruptions and rising raw material costs [4]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The commercial loan portfolio reached $10.7 billion, reflecting a 6.5% increase quarter over quarter and a 23% increase year over year [5] - Net interest income totaled $65.3 million, with a net interest margin of 2.36%, remaining resilient and in line with guidance [6][19] - Deposits rose to $5.9 billion, up 8% quarter over quarter and 24% year over year, representing almost 60% of total funding [5][15] - Net income for the quarter was $51.7 million, with a return on equity of 15.4% [7][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total loan portfolio reached a record $8.7 billion, up 18% year over year and 4% quarter over quarter [10] - The contingency portfolio, including letters of credit and guarantees, grew to nearly $2 billion, up 20% quarter over quarter and 49% year over year [11] - Fee income totaled $10.6 million, up 12% year over year, with letters of credit generating $6.7 million in fees [6][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strong performance was noted in Argentina, Mexico, and Guatemala, contributing to the growth of the loan portfolio [5][11] - The bank maintained a strong liquidity position with $1.9 billion in liquid assets, representing 15% of total assets [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building a robust and diversified pipeline with long-standing clients, particularly in sectors less exposed to tariff discussions [4] - A proactive commercial execution strategy is in place, supported by close client relationships and deep local market insights [4] - The company aims to maintain its full-year guidance despite global uncertainties, emphasizing prudent execution and long-term value creation [31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The global economic environment has shifted, leading to increased uncertainty and potential impacts on growth forecasts [27] - Latin America remains relatively insulated from direct tariff effects, with opportunities to benefit from shifts in global supply chains [29] - The company is well-positioned to manage exposures and capitalize on arising opportunities, with only 15% of its trade finance portfolio linked to the US [30] Other Important Information - The capital ratio remains strong at above 15%, with a quarterly dividend of $0.0625 per share approved, reflecting confidence in earnings outlook [8][18] - The efficiency ratio improved to 26.9%, down from 29.2% in the prior quarter, indicating effective cost management [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the increase in operating costs, and what can be expected going forward? - The increase in costs is mainly due to headcount growth, IT investments, and consulting fees tied to the execution of the strategic plan. The pace of hiring is expected to decelerate moving forward [34][36] Question: Can you comment on the growth in the commercial book and its sustainability? - The off-balance sheet growth was higher than expected, driven by the oil and gas sector in Argentina. The company anticipates continued growth in letters of credit, supported by a robust pipeline [40][45] Question: Can you elaborate on the impact of high volatility on spreads and potential upside risks to NIM guidance? - The company has maintained lending margins above December 2024 levels despite competitive pricing. Active balance sheet management and a strong pipeline are expected to benefit margins moving forward [56][62] Question: Why did the letters of credit business show a decrease in fee income despite growth in the balance? - The increase in balance occurred towards the end of the quarter, with income benefits expected to reflect more in the second quarter. The dynamics of commitments and letters of credit are expected to normalize [58][60]