Market Overview - October 2025 experienced a significant market downturn, contrasting with the expected bullish trend [1][2] - A major liquidation event occurred, exceeding the combined impact of the FTX collapse and the COVID panic in March 2020 [7][8] - The crypto fear and greed index plummeted into extreme fear territory [11] Key Events and Triggers - Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $126,296 before the crash [4] - Geopolitical tensions, specifically trade war concerns, triggered a deleveraging event [6] - The Federal Reserve's rate cut and the end of quantitative tightening (QT) initially led to a market sell-off due to cautious remarks [12] Financial Impact - $1937 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated, impacting 16 million traders [7] - Bitcoin plunged 18% from its all-time high, while Ethereum fell over 20% [9] - Altcoins experienced more severe losses, with some coins losing 60% to 80% of their value [10] Potential for Recovery - The market purge of excess leverage could create a healthier foundation for a future rally [17][18] - The end of QT and potential further rate cuts could provide a tailwind for risk assets like crypto [21] - Institutional demand remained resilient, with Bitcoin ETFs seeing net inflows even after the crash [22] Future Outlook - Bitcoin and Ethereum could potentially break through their all-time highs by the end of the year, but the path is narrow [24] - Altcoin season is less likely in the immediate future, with Bitcoin dominance increasing [28][29] - The next altcoin rally will likely be more selective, favoring high-quality projects with strong fundamentals [32]