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Analysts warn U.S. debt will surge to $64 trillion
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-18 19:28
Core Viewpoint - Analysts warn that the U.S. federal debt could significantly reshape global markets in the next decade, with projections indicating it may reach $64 trillion by 2036 [1][2]. Debt Projections - The U.S. federal debt is expected to increase by approximately $2.4 trillion annually over the next 10 years, potentially doubling from 2023 levels and tripling compared to 2018 [2]. - Annual interest payments on the debt are projected to exceed $2.1 trillion over the next decade, assuming no major recession occurs during this period [3]. Economic Implications - The rapid growth of federal debt will push U.S. fiscal obligations to unprecedented levels, with interest costs likely to crowd out discretionary spending [3]. - Policymakers may face challenging decisions regarding inflation management, spending cuts, or reliance on liquidity-support measures as debt servicing costs rise [5]. Impact on Investment Assets - The rising federal debt and potential increase in money supply bolster the argument for scarce digital assets, like Bitcoin, as a hedge against long-term fiat currency debasement [4][5]. - Historically, risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, have thrived during periods of abundant liquidity and negative real yields, as seen in 2020 and 2021 [6].