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APLD: A Turnaround in Profitability or Mirage Behind Adjusted EBITDA?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-24 13:21
Core Insights - Applied Digital's fiscal Q3 2025 results show a significant 878% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA to $10 million, indicating operational strength, but a net loss of $36.1 million or 16 cents per share raises concerns about profitability and capital structure [1][9] - The company reported a 22% increase in revenue to $52.9 million, but this fell short of expectations by nearly $10 million due to operational issues in transitioning GPU clusters and seasonal margin pressures in the Data Center Hosting segment [2][9] Strategic Developments - Applied Digital secured a $5 billion capital commitment from Macquarie and a $375 million loan from SMBC, enhancing liquidity for its Ellendale campus expansion [3] - The company is reviewing strategic alternatives for its AI Cloud Services business, considering potential benefits from a REIT conversion and conflicts with hyperscaler leasing prospects [3][4] Financial Position - The company's debt has risen to $689.1 million, leading to increased interest expenses, prompting investors to question the sustainability of its growth and reliance on adjusted metrics [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a 73.6% year-over-year increase, with current estimates indicating a net loss of $0.99 per share for the current year [13][14] Market Performance - APLD shares have increased by 29.2% year-to-date, contrasting with a 3.7% decline in the industry [8] - The company's forward price-to-sales ratio stands at 8.97X, significantly above the industry average and its five-year median of 1.44X, reflecting a Value Score of F [11]