Crypto four - year cycle
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Crypto Remains Vulnerable to Market Crashes, 66% of Investors Plan To Double Down Anyway
Yahoo Financeยท 2025-10-13 15:47
Market Overview - A significant market rout on October 10 resulted in liquidations exceeding $19 billion within 24 hours, marking the worst leverage flush in crypto history [1] - Despite this volatility, many investors remain optimistic, with a survey indicating that 66% of crypto investors plan to increase their holdings over the next six months, prioritizing long-term growth over short-term losses [2] Volatility and Institutional Demand - The theory suggests that institutional demand for cryptocurrencies should stabilize the notoriously volatile markets, yet the influx of institutional investment in Bitcoin and Ether has not significantly mitigated price fluctuations [3] - Historical data shows that while crypto volatility is declining over the years, dramatic price swings, such as the recent crash, are still prevalent, with Bitcoin experiencing over 21 instances of price movement exceeding seven percent in 24 hours in 2025 [4] Liquidation Details - Bitcoin led the recent wave of liquidations with $5.36 billion lost, followed by Ethereum, while altcoins accounted for approximately $9 billion in liquidations, indicating a strong interest in high-risk leverage strategies [5] - It is suggested that centralized exchanges may underreport liquidation figures, implying that actual losses could be more severe than reported [5] Market Cycle Analysis - Bitcoin's market trends have historically followed a four-year halving cycle, which includes phases of accumulation, bull market, distribution, and bear market, with the current phase interpreted as distribution due to increased retail adoption following previous bull runs [6][7] - Despite the ongoing volatility, some analysts believe that Bitcoin may have outgrown its tendency for prolonged bearish periods, as indicated by the positive sentiment among investors [8]