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Symbiotic Set to Report Q3 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-04 17:31
Core Viewpoint - Symbotic Inc. is set to report its third-quarter fiscal 2025 results on August 6, with expectations of revenue growth and earnings improvement compared to the previous year [1][8]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues in the upcoming quarter is $535.6 million, reflecting an 8.9% year-over-year growth [2]. - The consensus estimate for total earnings is 4 cents per share, indicating a more than 100% increase from the same quarter last year [2]. Earnings Surprise History - Symbotic's earnings surprise history shows mixed results, with two beats and two misses in the last four quarters, averaging a negative surprise of 72.1% [3]. Backlog and Revenue Drivers - The company reported a backlog of $22.7 billion in the second quarter of 2025, with expectations to recognize nearly 11% of its remaining performance obligations as revenue in the next 12 months [6]. - The backlog is anticipated to drive revenue growth, supported by improved deployment efficiency, which increased by 30% year-over-year [14]. Stock Performance - SYM shares have increased by 121.5% over the past year, outperforming the industry average of 71.2% and the S&P 500's 20.8% rise [7][8]. - Despite the strong performance, SYM trades at a premium with a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 108.64X, significantly higher than the industry average of 22.9X [11]. Financial Health - The company generated $249 million in free cash flow in the second quarter of 2025, aided by favorable changes in net working capital [15]. - SYM's current ratio stands at 1.02, indicating the ability to cover short-term obligations, although it is lower than the industry average of 1.84 [16]. Customer Concentration and Risks - A significant portion of SYM's revenue, 87%, comes from its partnership with Walmart, raising concerns about customer concentration risks [16]. - The company does not pay dividends, which may deter income-focused investors [16]. Future Outlook - The high backlog and improved deployment efficiency position Symbotic for substantial revenue generation in the near future, with expectations for margin expansion [17]. - However, the stock's high valuation and lower chances of an earnings beat suggest a cautious approach for investors [18].